Match Info

Date: 11 December 2020, Friday


	Kariana Erden		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.56
	2.52	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (1.86)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	2.56 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kariana Erden
34.9%

Draw
28.4%

Hebar Pazardzhik
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

20.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kariana Erden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kariana Erden's form might have worsened.

Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hebar Pazardzhik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariana Erden than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Parva liga and 5).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hebar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kariana Erden will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kariana Erden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kariana Erden
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.11.20	Kariana Erden - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:1 ✺
09.11.20	Kariana Erden - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2 ✺
31.10.20	Septemvri Sofia - Kariana Erden	0:0 ✺
27.10.20	Lovech - Kariana Erden	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
20.10.20	Kariana Erden - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWL
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.12.20	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lovech	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Hebar Pazardzhik - Minyor Pernik	2:0 ✺
06.11.20	Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:3 ✺
31.10.20	Hebar Pazardzhik - Neftochimic Burgas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.10.19	Hebar Pazardzhik - Kariana Erden	2:1

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