Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Kariobangi Sharks		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.62	2.32
	3.14	2.87	2.34	Watch
	3.17	2.94	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.18)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kariobangi Sharks
28.4%

Draw
32.5%

AFC Leopards
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

32.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

32.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for AFC Leopards have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 0.

Kariobangi Sharks has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leopards is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leopards may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leopards will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kariobangi Sharks won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
08.11.25	Nairobi United - Kariobangi Sharks	4:2 ✺
01.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Shabana	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kariobangi Sharks - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLW
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
16.11.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Shabana - AFC Leopards	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	AFC Leopards - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
09.02.25	AFC Leopards - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
20.10.24	Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards	1:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.24	Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards	1:2
Kenyan Premier League
04.02.24	Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards	0:2
01.11.23	AFC Leopards - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
19.02.23	AFC Leopards - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
14.05.22	AFC Leopards - Kariobangi Sharks	Leopards awarded

Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide