Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ukraina Stadium (Lviv)

Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Karpaty Lviv		Kryvbas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.1
	1.97	3.74	3.55
	1.94	3.77	3.46	Watch
	2.08	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)	3.65 ↑ (3.26)	3.28 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Lviv
46.2%

Draw
25.4%

Kryvbas
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Karpaty Lviv - Kryvbas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Domchak N. (G) 77. Sych O. 4. Baboglo V. 47. Jean Pedroso 28. Polegenko P. 21. Tanda P. 8. Chachua A. (C) 37. Bruninho 33. Shakh A. 95. Krasnopir I. 7. Paulo V.	12. Kemkin O. (G) 2. Jurcec J. 6. Konate B. 3. Rojas C. 55. Dibango Y. 27. Araujo A. 21. Kamensky O. 94. Zaderaka M. (C) 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 7. Mendoza G. 9. Paraco C.
Substitutes
3. Adamyuk V. 9. Fabiano 19. Karabin Y. 18. Klymenko V. 2. Kyrychok M. 80. Mysak R. (G) 10. Neves I.	5. Bekavac A. 26. Flores J. 17. Gonzalez M. 1. Khoma B. (G) 18. Lin B. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 28. Maya J. 24. Mulyk V. 10. Mykytyshyn A. 19. Ndombasi N. 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 16. Thiago Borges
Coaches
Lavrynenko S.	van Leeuwen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Kemkin O. 🟥,
22', Paraco C. ↓, Makhankov V. ↑,
37', Tverdokhlib Y. 🟨,
45+5', Baboglo V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Bruninho ⚽, Chachua A. (A),
58', Kamensky O. ↓, Mykytyshyn A. ↑,
58', Shakh A. ↓, Klymenko V. ↑,
79', Lavrynenko S. 🟨,
84', Krasnopir I. ↓, Neves I. ↑,
90', Tverdokhlib Y. ↓, Mulyk V. ↑,
90', Rojas C. ↓, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Karpaty might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 3.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
03.11.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTLWT
- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
01.11.25	Kryvbas - Poltava	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Kryvbas	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rukh Lviv - Kryvbas	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Kryvbas - Kudrivka	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
14.12.24	Kryvbas - Karpaty Lviv	2:0
11.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Kryvbas	3:0
Club Friendly
09.07.23	Kryvbas - Karpaty Lviv	0:1
Ukrainian Premier League
18.05.13	Kryvbas - Karpaty Lviv	3:2
04.11.12	Karpaty Lviv - Kryvbas	6:0
02.05.12	Karpaty Lviv - Kryvbas	2:0

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