Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: KSK Nika (Oleksandria)

Referee: Afanasyev O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kryvbas		Kudrivka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.9
	1.82	3.6	3.95
	1.84	3.7	3.99
	1.89	3.85	4.13	Watch
	1.77	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.72)	3.64 ↓ (3.65)	3.95 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kryvbas
50.8%

Draw
25.6%

Kudrivka
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.5%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.9%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Kudrivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kudrivka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Kryvbas - Kudrivka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kryvbas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Kryvbas (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kryvbas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kemkin O. (G) 2. Jurcec J. 6. Konate B. 4. Vilivald V. 5. Bekavac A. 10. Mykytyshyn A. 94. Zaderaka M. (C) 27. Araujo A. 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 7. Mendoza G. 9. Paraco C.	1. Lyopka R. (G) 39. Machelyuk A. 17. Serdyuk M. 13. Shapoval V. 91. Melnychuk M. 66. Losenko I. 19. Dumanyuk A. 9. Kozak O. 5. Totovytskyi A. 33. Morozko Y. (C) 24. Owusu R.
Substitutes
55. Dibango Y. 26. Flores J. 21. Kamensky O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 18. Lin B. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 28. Maya J. 24. Mulyk V. 19. Ndombasi N. 3. Rojas C. 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 16. Thiago Borges	7. Korkishko D. 73. Kulyk M. (G) 77. Lyegostayev A. 90. Mamrosenko I. 14. Matveev K. 29. Nagnoynyi D. 27. Pushkaryov O. 78. Rogozynskyi V. 8. Storchous A. 20. Svityukha D. 22. Veklyak B. 37. Yashkov A. (G)
Coaches
van Leeuwen P.	Baranov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Tverdokhlib Y. ⚽,
25', Mykytyshyn A. ↓, Lin B. ↑,
45+2', Owusu R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Owusu R. ↓, Lyegostayev A. ↑,
46', Totovytskyi A. ↓, Storchous A. ↑,
54', Morozko Y. 🟨,
63', Morozko Y. ↓, Pushkaryov O. ↑,
70', Losenko I. ↓, Nagnoynyi D. ↑,
71', Paraco C. ↓, Mulyk V. ↑,
74', Shapoval V. ↓, Mamrosenko I. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Mendoza G. ⚽, Mulyk V. (A),
79', Zaderaka M. 🟨,
89', 3 - 0, Mendoza G. ⚽, Tverdokhlib Y. (A),
90', Mendoza G. ↓, Dibango Y. ↑,
90', Zaderaka M. ↓, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. ↑,
90', Tverdokhlib Y. ↓, Kamensky O. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Kemkin O. (Own goal),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

Kryvbas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kudrivka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kudrivka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kryvbas is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
28.09.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Kryvbas	4:5 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Chernihiv - Kryvbas	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.25	Kryvbas - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kryvbas - Obolon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWLW
- FC Kudrivka
Ukrainian Premier League
26.09.25	Kudrivka - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kudrivka	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Veres Rivne - Kudrivka	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Kudrivka - Karpaty Lviv	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kudrivka	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTL

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