Match Info

Super Lig - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-america	ESPN 6 South
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Kasımpaşa		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.3	Watch
	8.75	5.2	1.32
	9.27	5.51	1.34
	9.91	5.32	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.11 ↑ (5.14)	5.26 ↑ (4.04)	1.33 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
10.4%

Draw
18.1%

Fenerbahçe
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

22.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasımpaşa's form might have worsened.

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	0%	92.6%

Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Fenerbahçe (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Fenerbahçe (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 16 - 94.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 20. Opoku N. 4. Arous A. 21. Frimpong G. 16. Baldursson A. F. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 10. Hajradinovic H. (C) 8. Cafu 11. Kol A. 77. Gueye P.	31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 4. Soyuncu C. 24. Oosterwolde J. 5. Yuksek I. 7. Fred 17. Kahveci I. C. 21. Asensio M. 9. Akturkoglu K. 94. Talisca
Substitutes
29. Aydin T. 34. Diabate F. 72. Eratilla Y. 14. Espinoza J. 7. Fall M. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 5. Mujde A. 33. Tasdemir E. 6. Ustundag C. 25. Yanar A. (G)	70. Aydin O. 3. Brown A. 1. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Elmaz B. 19. En Nesyri Y. 18. Muldur M. 45. Nene D. 50. Rodrigo Becao 53. Szymanski S. 23. Tosun C.
Coaches
Arveladze S.	Tedesco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Asensio M. ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
21', Kol A. 🟨,
45', Cafu 🟥,
45+3', Winck C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fred ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
59', Talisca ↓, En Nesyri Y. ↑,
59', Semedo N. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
62', Kol A. ↓, Diabate F. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Hajradinovic H. ⚽, Ben Ouanes M. (A),
72', Asensio M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
72', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
78', Arous A. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
90+3', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
90+7', Hajradinovic H. 🟨,
90+7', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 0.

Kasımpaşa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fenerbahçe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Barasi Y. (Inactive) Cetinkaya B. (Inactive) Cetinkaya E. (Muscle Injury) Diabate F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Inactive) Duran J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 18:54. (average 0.9:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:25. (average 0.6:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
17.09.25	Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	2:3 ✺
18.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLLL
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
17.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Benfica - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
23.08.25	Fenerbahçe - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
16.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	3:1
Turkish Cup
09.01.25	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:3
Turkish Super League
15.09.24	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:2
24.02.24	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	2:1
08.10.23	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:2
29.01.23	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	5:1
15.08.22	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:6

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