The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vissel Kobe 42.3%
Draw 29.4%
Kashima Antlers 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
29.9%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
30.2%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vissel Kobe's performance.
Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kashima Antlers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vissel Kobe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kashima Antlers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
57.1%
14.3%
Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Kashima will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.
71. Gonda S. (G) 17. Takahashi I. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 15. Diego 5. Goke Y. 24. Sakai G. 7. Ideguchi Y. 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 41. Nagato K.
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 37. Hirose R. 55. Ueda N. (C) 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 7. Ogawa R. 27. Matsumura Y. 8. Matheus Bueno 6. Misao K. 23. Tsukui K. 40. Suzuki Y. 34. Tokuda H.
Substitutes
16. Caetano 94. Erik 44. Hidaka M. 2. Iino N. 23. Iwamoto Y. 29. Komatsu R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 1. Maekawa D. (G) 80. Nduka B.
77. Cavric A. 4. Chida K. 24. Hayashu H. 25. Koike R. 35. Motosuna A. 10. Shibasaki G. 21. Yamada T. (G) 18. Yan 30. Yoshida M.
Coaches
Skibbe M.
Oniki T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Tsukui K. 🟨,
25', Hirose R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Osako Y. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Tsukui K. ↓, Yan ↑,
65', Tokuda H. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
65', Hirose R. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
72', Nagato K. ↓, Erik ↑,
72', Osako Y. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Cavric A. ⚽, Yan (A),
77', 2 - 1, Yamakawa T. ⚽, Diego (A),
79', Matheus Bueno ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
81', Ogawa R. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
90+1', Misao K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 2.
Vissel Kobe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kashima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Inactive)
Ogihara T.
(Knee Injury)
Sasaki D.
(Knee Injury)
Tominaga N.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Higuchi Y.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Vissel Kobe: 20.95% Kashima Antlers: 13.09%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Kashima Antlers
4
4
0
0
11:6
5
12
6
Vissel Kobe
4
2
1
1
4:3
1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Kashima Antlers - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.3%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.