Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Kashima Antlers		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.50	3.70	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.70
	1.74	3.75	4.00	Watch
	1.90	4.05	3.91
	1.88	3.78	3.82	Watch
	1.84	3.75	3.85
	1.92	3.82	3.78	Watch
	1.88	3.70	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)	3.76 ↓ (3.81)	3.8 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
50.5%

Draw
24.9%

Gamba Osaka
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

24.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

24.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Kashima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Gamba Osaka has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Kashima carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kashima has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:15 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kashima against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:6 goals (averaging 1.7:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.2% Gamba Osaka: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Kashima Antlers - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kashima Antlers - Ventforet Kofu	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Kashima Antlers - Newcastle Jets	7:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.09.26	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTWLL
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J League Cup
03.10.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka	5:4 AET ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Gamba Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	5:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
20.09.26	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Gamba Osaka - Cong An Ha Noi	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.26	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
05.10.25	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	0:0
31.05.25	Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:1
26.06.24	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	0:0
28.04.24	Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers	1:2
24.06.23	Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers	2:1
29.04.23	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	4:0
05.11.22	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	0:0

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