Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Referee: Sultangaliev R. (Kaz)


	Kyzylzhar		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.65	Watch
	2.07	3.25	3.84
	1.93	3.32	3.73	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.7
	2.04	3.15	3.92	Watch
	2.12	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.4)	3.12 ↑ (2.87)	3.62 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
45.5%

Draw
29.3%

Okzhetpes
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

32.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kyzylzhar's performance.

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyzylzhar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+4%)

Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 23. Piscevic N. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 5. Slambekov D. 71. Sokolenko A. 19. Krajisnik D. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 47. Gomis H. 10. Bjartalid J. 99. Beugre E. 7. Muldinov T.	22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 8. Buribaev N. 9. Borodin D. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 47. Vasiljev V. 91. Abdumannonov B. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. (C)
Substitutes
9. Adil A. 13. Baoken S. 11. Cheredinov A. 28. Chirkov R. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 27. Gubarev N. 21. Kurbanov T. 88. Pertsukh Y. 32. Petrov V. (G)	67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 17. Nurymbet A. 19. Omirtaev O. 16. Shamshi B. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Alyuetov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Kerimzhanov O. 🟨,
41', Zhangylyshbay T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Piscevic N. 🟨,
52', Piscevic N. 🟥,
55', Leo Assunpcao 🟨,
59', Abdumannonov B. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
59', Zhangylyshbay T. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
65', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Nurymbet A. ↑,
66', Gomis H. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
66', Krajisnik D. ↓, Chirkov R. ↑,
66', Muldinov T. ↓, Adil A. ↑,
67', Makarenko E. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
79', Bjartalid J. ↓, Gubarev N. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Nurymbet A. ⚽, Nurgaliyev E. (A),
84', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
90+4', Lototskyi B. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 2.

Kyzylzhar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Okzhetpes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kyzylzhar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhenis	4:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
09.04.26	Khan Tengri - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWW
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Okzhetpes - Ertis Pavlodar	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
09.04.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
13.09.25	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	3:1
31.05.25	Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar	3:2
01.10.23	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	1:2
15.03.23	Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar	0:1
17.10.20	Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar	2:1
01.07.20	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	3:1

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