The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ordabasy 61.4%
Draw 22.1%
Okzhetpes 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
26.7%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
28.6%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.
Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Okzhetpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Okzhetpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ordabasy - Okzhetpes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shayzada B. (G) 3. Kilama G. 25. Maliy S. 55. Amanovic A. 22. Astanov S. 77. Abagna D. 15. Amir Z. 5. Antic N. 10. Astanov E. 9. Everton 19. Leo Natel
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 14. Mukanov S. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 9. Borodin D. 17. Nurymbet A. 47. Vasiljev V. 19. Omirtaev O. 8. Buribaev N.
Substitutes
24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 16. Capatina M. 23. Khalmatov M. 45. Mitkov D. 7. Naumets V. 27. Serik N. 21. Toktybay B. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A. 11. Vakulko Y.
91. Abdumannonov B. 67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 16. Shamshi B. 77. Sovpel V. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T.
Coaches
Martin A.
Alyuetov R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Everton ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
61', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Maliy S. ⚽, Astanov E. (A),
66', Leo Natel ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
67', Abagna D. ↓, Vakulko Y. ↑,
73', Buribaev N. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
75', Abdumannonov B. 🟨,
76', Amir Z. ↓, Mitkov D. ↑,
83', Mukanov S. ↓, Sovpel V. ↑,
83', Omirtaev O. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Leo Assunpcao ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Toktybay M. ⚽,
90+9', Astanov S. 🟨,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 5.
Ordabasy is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Okzhetpes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Ordabasy is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Ordabasy will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:15. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).