Match Info

First League - Round 24

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Kaspiy Aktau 2		Astana 2

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.15
	2.75	3.80	2.02
	2.69	3.75	1.96
	2.57	4.38	2.10	Watch
	2.65	3.85	2.06
	2.82	4.41	2.00	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.59)	3.99 ↓ (4.1)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau 2
33.6%

Draw
22.5%

Astana 2
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

22%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

21.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Astana 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau 2 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana 2 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Abdulla N. ⚽, Zhumabay R. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Kuantay A. ⚽,
19', 3 - 0, Elemes N. ⚽, Zhumabay E. (A),
35', 4 - 0, Zhumabay E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 5 - 0, Islam N. ⚽,
88', 6 - 0, Kurbanov T. ⚽, Syilagan N. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 5th).

Kaspiy 2 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Astana 2 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Kaspiy 2 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Astana 2	26	12	3	11	55:53	2	39
10	Kaspij Aktau 2	26	8	4	14	37:49	-12	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau 2
Kazakh First League
19.09.26	Tobol 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Arys	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	Jaiyq - Kaspiy Aktau 2	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTW
- FC Astana 2
Kazakh First League
18.09.26	Astana 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	7:1 ✺
10.09.26	Kairat 2 - Astana 2	2:2 ✺
03.09.26	Astana 2 - Taraz	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Khan Tengri - Astana 2	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
02.07.26	Astana 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:1

Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Astana 2