Match Info

First League - Round 22

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kaspiy Aktau 2		Arys

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.70	3.30
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.9	3.55	2.91
	1.8	4.02	3.47	Watch
	1.78	3.55	3.35
	1.8	4.06	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	3.73 ↑ (3.55)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau 2
49.1%

Draw
24%

Arys
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

24.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

23.9%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Arys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arys than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 1 - 0, Zhazmagambetov Z. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 1, Zhanbyrbay A. ⚽, Imanali M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 2, Kystaubay A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kaspiy 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kaspiy 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	23	7	4	12	29:41	-12	25
11	Arys	23	7	3	13	29:43	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau 2
Kazakh First League
04.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	Jaiyq - Kaspiy Aktau 2	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Aktobe 2	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLW
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
03.09.26	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:1 ✺
20.08.26	Arys - Taraz	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Khan Tengri - Arys	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Astana 2 - Arys	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Arys	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTLL

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