Match Info

First League - Round 17

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shakhter Karagandy		Kaspiy Aktau 2

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.00	10.50
	1.17	5.9	11.5
	1.19	5.6	7.4
	1.21	5.47	12.33	Watch
	1.18	6	7.75
	1.2	5.57	15	Watch
	1.2	6.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.27)	5.86 ↑ (4.74)	10.43 ↑ (8.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
75.9%

Draw
15.4%

Kaspiy Aktau 2
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

19%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Kaspiy Aktau 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Ulshin A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 8).

Shakhter Karagandy is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kaspiy 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shakhter Karagandy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	23	20	2	1	64:8	56	62
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	23	7	4	12	29:41	-12	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
31.07.26	Tobol 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Arys	4:1 ✺
16.07.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- FC Kaspiy Aktau 2
Kazakh First League
30.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Aktobe 2	6:1 ✺
23.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Kairat 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:0 ✺
10.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Taraz	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Astana 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
07.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2

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