Match Info

J2 League - Round 12

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	12:00	K-Ball
Japan	13:00	DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.40	2.57	Watch
	2.30	3.20	2.65
	2.18	3.40	2.95	Watch
	2.56	3.53	2.79
	2.3	3.51	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.45	2.70
	2.64	3.42	2.51	Watch
	2.35	3.30	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.2)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	2.7 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
38.5%

Draw
27.2%

Consadole Sapporo
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Montedio Yamagata - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Sato R. (G) 15. Kawai A. 38. Morioka R. 49. Sakamoto K. 5. Sugii H. 14. Yanagimachi K. 20. Yoshio Kaina 7. Nakamura R. 77. Kawana R. 55. Horikane S. 11. Disaro A. S. (C)	24. Tagawa T. (G) 39. Kawahara H. 55. Umetsu R. 47. Nishino S. (C) 17. Uchida M. 18. Kido S. 50. Urakami N. 34. Konomi K. 38. Toyama S. 11. Aoki R. 23. Omori S.
Substitutes
8. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 2. Lee Dong-Hee 39. Mori K. 13. Nodake H. 1. Shibuya T. (G) 9. Takahashi J. 17. Terayama T. 18. Yokoyama R.	27. Arano T. 16. Hasegawa T. 29. Kim Geon-Ung 9. Mario Sergio 10. Miyazawa H. 3. Park Min-Gyu 7. Sarachat S. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 70. Vini Peixoto
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Kawai K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Omori S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yoshio Kaina ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Kido S. ⚽, Aoki R. (A),
63', Disaro A. S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
65', Kido S. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
65', Omori S. ↓, Vini Peixoto ↑,
72', Kawana R. ↓, Doi S. ↑,
72', Horikane S. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
76', Aoki R. ↓, Arano T. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Arano T. ⚽, Konomi K. (A),
85', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Kida R. ↑,
85', Toyama S. ↓, Sarachat S. ↑,
85', Konomi K. ↓, Park Min-Gyu ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 14th and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Montedio Yamagata (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Consadole Sapporo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Montedio Yamagata has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:17 (averaging 1.4:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montedio Yamagata against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	13	5	2	6	16:19	-3	17
17	Montedio Yamagata	13	4	1	8	11:13	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Montedio Yamagata - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
17.10.26	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Oita Trinita - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
17.10.26	Consadole Sapporo - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Consadole Sapporo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.10.25	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
03.05.25	Montedio Yamagata - Consadole Sapporo	0:1
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	6:3
Japan J2 League
14.08.16	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	3:1
17.04.16	Montedio Yamagata - Consadole Sapporo	1:1
17.08.14	Montedio Yamagata - Consadole Sapporo	2:1
08.03.14	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	1:1

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