Match Info

J2 League - Round 7

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.2
	3.3	3	2.26	Watch
	3.47	3	2.25	Watch
	3.3	2.88	2.25
	3.41	3.01	2.26	Watch
	3.3	3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	2.25 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
27.8%

Draw
31.3%

Vegalta Sendai
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.8%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Kataller Toyama - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 28. Fuseya S. 41. Sakai S. 5. Imase J. 88. Hama T. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 8. Matsuoka D. 17. Inoue N. 27. Yoshihira T. 9. Usui S.	33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 44. Inoue S. 5. Sugata M. 39. Ishio R. 11. Goke Y. 8. Takeda H. 10. Kamada H. 14. Sagara R. 9. Eron 47. Araki S.
Substitutes
18. Ito T. 4. Kamiyama K. 10. Matsuda R. 23. Nishiya S. 21. Okubo T. (G) 33. Takahashi Y. 58. Take H. 34. Takenaka G. 48. Ueda K.	42. Ishii H. 19. Mateus Moraes 6. Matsui R. 99. Miyazaki K. 24. Myogan T. 3. Okuyama M. 27. Onaiwu G. 21. Umeda R. (G) 40. Yasuno T.
Coaches
Otagiri M.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Sagara R. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Miyazaki K. ⚽, Mase T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kawai Y. ↓, Takenaka G. ↑,
51', Takeda H. 🟨,
56', Miyazaki K. 🟨,
61', Usui S. ↓, Take H. ↑,
61', Yoshihira T. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
61', Inoue N. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
68', Eron ↓, Myogan T. ↑,
68', Takeda H. ↓, Matsui R. ↑,
84', Matsuoka D. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
86', Araki S. ↓, Yasuno T. ↑,
86', Kamada H. ↓, Okuyama M. ↑,
90+5', Yasuno T. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 9).

Kataller Toyama is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sendai is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sendai will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Last Results with these Odds

Kataller Toyama - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Kataller Toyama - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Imabari - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Kataller Toyama - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Kataller Toyama - Ventforet Kofu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLTWW
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Vegalta Sendai - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
14.08.19	Vegalta Sendai - Kataller Toyama	1:0

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