Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	TV 100
Hungary	Sport 2
Lithuania	TV3
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kauno Žalgiris		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	8.00	5.00	1.30	Watch
	9.25	5.25	1.32
	8.50	4.50	1.34	Watch
	10.11	5.40	1.32
	8.04	4.81	1.39	Watch
	10.00	5.30	1.28
	9.10	5.40	1.32	Watch
	8.80	5.20	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.98 ↑ (7.1)	5.11 ↓ (5.38)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
10.5%

Draw
18.4%

Beşiktaş
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

17.7%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

17.1%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Kauno Žalgiris - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Beşiktaş (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beşiktaş will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mikelionis D. (C) 45. Moutachy J. 77. Lekiatas R. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 8. Karashima Y. 70. Ourega F. 17. Fiolic I. 20. Kalik A. 15. Leo Ribeiro 27. Debeljuh G.	1. Nubel A. (G) 62. Murillo M. 35. Djalo T. 53. Topcu E. 11. Ouattara K. 15. Olaitan J. 6. Ozcan S. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. (C) 18. Cerny V. 28. Vlahovic D. 29. Fakili I.
Substitutes
32. Baldassarra F. 7. Benchaib A. 24. Burba M. 62. Kastrati L. II. 33. Konatar M. 9. Krekovic L. 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G. 14. Slivka V. 55. Svedkauskas T. (G)	12. Agbadou E. 80. Alemdar D. (G) 70. Bircan A. S. 22. Bulut T. 5. Hadziahmetovic A. 90. Kilicsoy S. 10. Kokcu O. 4. Ndidi W. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 58. Ozcan Y. 7. Rashica M. 33. Yilmaz R.
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Kalik A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Debeljuh G. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
56', Fiolic I. ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
56', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Krekovic L. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Renan Oliveira ⚽, Mikelionis D. (A),
65', Vlahovic D. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
65', Cerny V. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
65', Olaitan J. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
69', Kalik A. ↓, Benchaib A. ↑,
80', Karashima Y. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
85', Kayra Yilmaz K. 🟨,
86', Fakili I. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
86', Kayra Yilmaz K. ↓, Bircan A. S. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

Kauno Žalgiris has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Beşiktaş is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kauno Žalgiris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Beşiktaş is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kauno Žalgiris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Besiktas: 4.09%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Beşiktaş - Kauno Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Transinvest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Žalgiris	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
23.08.26	Alanyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Beşiktaş - Kauno Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.08.26	Beşiktaş - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Beşiktaş - Hradec Králové	1:0 ✺
06.08.26	Hradec Králové - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Beşiktaş - Kauno Žalgiris	3:0

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