Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)


	Kauno Žalgiris		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4	1.51
	6.35	4.15	1.48
	5.5	4.2	1.53
	5.95	4.17	1.52
	5.9	4.3	1.52	Watch
	6	4.4	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (5.5)	4.2 ↑ (4.1)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
16.2%

Draw
22.2%

Lech Poznań
61.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.3%

23.2%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

22.9%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Kauno Žalgiris - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mikelionis D. (G) 43. Noslin J. 80. Kloniunas E. 99. Spano Rahou M. 93. Girdvainis E. (C) 97. Karvatskyi A. 10. Sirgedas G. 14. Uzela K. 17. Armanavicius V. 11. Xabi Auzmendi 88. Fase A.	41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 23. Blazic M. 16. Milic A. 3. Douglas B. 6. Karlstrom J. (C) 17. Szymczak F. 10. Marchwinski F. 7. Sousa A. 54. Wilak F. 90. Sobiech A.
Substitutes
12. Brazinskas A. (G) 7. Dolznikov A. 47. Kucys A. 70. Latouchent R. 18. Muenfuh Seth S. 83. Nainys P. 16. Opeyemi A. 13. Plukas I. (G) 15. Silkaitis K. 9. Valskis N. 30. Vosylius N.	5. Andersson E. 50. Ba Loua A. 35. Bednarek F. (G) 44. Czerwinski A. 21. Hotic D. 9. Ishak M. 30. Kvekveskiri N. 22. Murawski R. 55. Pingot M. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G) 11. Velde K.
Coaches
Stankevicius M.	van den Brom J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Recent matches Kauno Žalgiris is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lech is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kauno Žalgiris have a series of guest games.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kauno Žalgiris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Lech Poznań - Kauno Žalgiris	3:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
22.07.23	Dainava Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
18.07.23	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
02.07.23	Kauno Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLW
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.07.23	Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Lech Poznań - Kauno Žalgiris	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.07.23	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	AZ Alkmaar - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
08.07.23	Lech Poznań - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Lech Poznań - Kauno Žalgiris	3:1

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