Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 24

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)


	Kauno Žalgiris		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.70
	1.82	3.20	3.70
	1.92	3.55	4.08
	2.01	3.48	3.53	Watch
	1.84	3.50	4.00
	1.88	3.38	4.16	Watch
	1.84	3.25	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.67)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.84 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
48.8%

Draw
27.2%

Sūduva Marijampolė
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

28.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sūduva will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Sūduva (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sūduva (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sūduva (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 24. Burba M. 27. Debeljuh G. 23. Hernandez A. 20. Kalik A. 8. Karashima Y. 33. Konatar M. 77. Lekiatas R. 15. Leo Ribeiro 45. Moutachy J. 14. Slivka V.	31. Plukas I. (G) 8. Lawson S. 6. Sabo A. 94. Sanokho S. M. 7. Seck I. 14. Steponavicius F. 75. Stockunas E. 19. Tangiri F. 16. Tsykalo Y. 4. Uzochukwu H. 15. Zivanovic A. (C)
Substitutes
32. Baldassarra F. 7. Benchaib A. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 11. Cernych F. 17. Fiolic I. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 62. Kastrati L. II. 9. Krekovic L. 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G. 3. Tolordava A.	26. Antanavicius D. 11. Chajia M. 23. Grigalava R. 9. Lucky T. 13. Mikulenas M. 18. Milasius T. 20. Omori Y. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 80. Yefremov Y. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G)
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Vencevicius D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Karashima Y. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Debeljuh G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', Burba M. ↓, Benchaib A. ↑,
58', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Krekovic L. ↑,
65', Zivanovic A. ↓, Antanavicius D. ↑,
66', Tangiri F. ↓, Chajia M. ↑,
66', Steponavicius F. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
66', Debeljuh G. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Benchaib A. ⚽,
70', 4 - 0, Renan Oliveira ⚽,
80', 🟨,
88', 4 - 1, Tsykalo Y. ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 1.

Kauno Žalgiris is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sūduva is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sūduva has had a series of away games.

Kauno Žalgiris will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kauno Zalgiris	28	14	9	5	56:20	36	51
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 52.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	5:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
03.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Beşiktaş - Kauno Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTWL
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.09.26	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	2:1
21.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	0:4
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
27.10.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	1:0
24.09.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1
Lithuanian Cup
10.08.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.06.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0

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