Match Info

I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	LNK


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	3.40	1.95
	3.35	3.40	1.93
	3.28	3.30	2.00
	3.40	3.21	2.05	Watch
	3.20	3.20	1.98
	3.32	3.63	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.37)	3.36 ↓ (3.48)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
27.5%

Draw
26.9%

BFA Vilnius
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

26.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

BFA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
12	Kauno Zalgiris 2	25	7	1	17	23:43	-20	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
24.06.26	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0 ✺
18.06.26	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Transinvest 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - FA Šiauliai B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLLWW
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
20.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:2
28.03.25	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0
26.10.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:1
29.06.24	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris 2	5:0
21.08.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:0
01.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0
29.07.21	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:0

Upcoming Matches