Match Info

1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Keçiörengücü		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.04	3.37	3.28	Watch
	2.06	3.62	3.45
	1.95	3.57	3.63	Watch
	2	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.58	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.8)	3.51 ↓ (3.73)	3.37 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
46%

Draw
26.5%

Vanspor
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Keçiörengücü - Vanspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Keçiörengücü will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Satilmis E. (G) 10. Bulut H. 15. Wellington Nascimento 4. Celik A. 73. Lus S. 36. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. (C) 7. Roshi O. 8. Rroca E. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.	25. Akbaba C. (G) 22. Destici S. 53. Cavusoglu M. 4. Dikmen E. 35. Isciler B. 7. Hostikka S. 6. Jevsenak Z. 10. Jefferson 17. Caglayan O. 76. Kara B. C. (C) 20. Mamah K.
Substitutes
9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 5. Caliskan O. 11. Dere A. 6. Develi E. 70. Diaby O. 78. Fernandes J. 23. Mexer 88. Ozer A. (G) 28. Yilmaz E.	45. Bars E. 19. Bikoue 65. Bingol M. 21. Demirol A. 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 13. Oulare N. 41. Ozcan M. 44. Secgin E. 8. Traore A. 1. Uysal A. (G)
Coaches
Kosukavak Y.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bulut H. ⚽,
30', Diouf M. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Roshi O. 🟨,
52', Celik A. 🟨,
62', Jevsenak Z. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
62', Mamah K. ↓, Bikoue ↑,
62', Destici S. ↓, Oulare N. ↑,
64', Cavusoglu M. 🟨,
65', Akdag I. 🟨,
68', Secgin E. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Roshi O. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
77', Hostikka S. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
77', Rroca E. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Fernandes J. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
85', Karaogul I. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
85', Roshi O. ↓, Diaby O. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Keçiörengücü might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Erdogan M. (Injury) Keskin B. (Suspended)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keciorengucu	8	3	4	1	17:10	7	13
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
21.03.26	Keçiörengücü - Adana Demirspor	7:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sarıyer - Keçiörengücü	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sivasspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTWL
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
22.03.26	Vanspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Vanspor - Adana Demirspor	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Pendikspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Vanspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.11.25	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1

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