Match Info

1. Lig - Round 31

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Sarıyer		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.24	3.3	2.91
	2.38	3.4	3.04
	2.07	3.49	3.34	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.3	3.44	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	3 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
41.5%

Draw
27.6%

Keçiörengücü
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

26.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Sarıyer - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Keçiörengücü (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bayram M. (G) 77. Karayel C. 14. Mert M. 20. Osmanpasa C. (C) 5. Korkmazoglu E. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 70. Camara M. 53. Poko A. 88. Silva M. 9. Dembele P. M. 91. Kor B.	18. Satilmis E. (G) 10. Bulut H. 5. Caliskan O. 4. Celik A. 11. Dere A. 14. Akdag I. (C) 36. Karaogul I. 7. Roshi O. 8. Rroca E. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.
Substitutes
97. Akyuz F. (G) 17. Aydogmus B. 35. Kara A. 27. Kulasin E. 24. Oguz A. E. 4. Ozer F. 7. Regattin A. 48. Sol O. 6. Traore H. 22. Yilmaz O.	9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 6. Develi E. 70. Diaby O. 78. Fernandes J. 73. Lus S. 23. Mexer 88. Ozer A. (G) 15. Wellington Nascimento 28. Yilmaz E.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Kosukavak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Mert M. ⚽, Korkmazoglu E. (A),
37', Cetin S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Dere A. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Poko A. ⚽, Kor B. (A),
62', Roshi O. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
62', Rroca E. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
70', Karayel C. 🟨,
74', Fernandes J. 🟨,
77', Dembele P. M. ↓, Kulasin E. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Kor B. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
83', Camara M. ↓, Kara A. ↑,
83', Silva M. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
85', Kara A. 🟨,
87', Akdag I. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
87', Bulut H. ↓, Diaby O. ↑,
90+1', Kor B. ↓, Sol O. ↑,
90+1', Karayel C. ↓, Aydogmus B. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Diouf M. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
90+3', Ezeh F. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sarıyer might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sarıyer: Babacar K. (Inactive) Bayram O. (Yellow Cards) Djilobodji P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Erdogan M. (Injury) Keskin B. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Sarıyer: Ozer F. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14
6	Keciorengucu	8	3	4	1	17:10	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
10.03.26	Manisa FK - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Sarıyer - Umraniyespor	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Sarıyer - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWT
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
11.03.26	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sivasspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:2 ✺
Turkish First League
28.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0
Turkish Second League White Group
14.04.19	Sarıyer - Keçiörengücü	1:0
24.11.18	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
01.04.18	Sarıyer - Keçiörengücü	2:5
11.11.17	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	2:0

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