Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: New Central Park (Kelty)


	Kelty Hearts		Brechin City

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.1	3.3
	1.75	4.05	3.75
	1.89	3.81	3.4
	1.00	12.28	15.00	Watch
	1.92	4.3	3.46
	1.86	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	5.39 ↑ (3.88)	5.37 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
61.2%

Draw
19.4%

Brechin City
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kelty Hearts's performance.

Brechin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kelty Hearts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brechin City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kelty Hearts - Brechin City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kelty Hearts will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gourlay K. (G) 2. Thomas M. 27. Wyllie J. 15. Clay C. 7. Moore L. 6. Ferguson A. 8. Arnott A. 17. McCarvel L. 10. Murray I. 9. Johnston C. (C) 14. Graham J.	1. Lynch R. (G) 2. Sweeney K. 4. Hutchinson A. 21. Baird W. 15. Sweenie-Rowe M. 5. Spark E. (C) 6. Crombie E. 16. Craig H. 18. McGrath G. 10. Macleod F. 12. Sheridan C.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 18. Campbell B. 12. Carroll L. 30. Leitch G. 23. Masson C. 22. McHale K. 29. Snoddy J. 24. Teasdale J. 31. Young G.	11. Armour B. 14. Findlay M. 3. Klimionek B. 17. Moreland S. 20. Tosh C. 8. Watson P. 23. Weir R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Moore L. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Murray I. ⚽, Ferguson A. (A),
39', Sweeney K. 🟨,
44', Arnott A. 🟨,
45', Johnston C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Murray I. ↓, Teasdale J. ↑,
58', Thomas M. ↓, Masson C. ↑,
60', Sheridan C. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Ferguson A. ⚽,
69', Sheridan C. 🟨,
71', Sweeney K. ↓, Findlay M. ↑,
78', Macleod F. ↓, Tosh C. ↑,
78', McGrath G. ↓, Moreland S. ↑,
87', Crombie E. ↓, Watson P. ↑,
89', Hutchinson A. 🟨,
89', Moore L. ↓, Leitch G. ↑,
90+2', Johnston C. ↓, Snoddy J. ↑,

Preview

Kelty Hearts is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brechin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brechin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Brechin has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kelty Hearts is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kelty Hearts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
22.11.25	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.11.25	Kelty Hearts - Hearts B	0:1 ✺
Scottish League One
08.11.25	Stenhousemuir - Kelty Hearts	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLTL
- Brechin City
Scottish Highland League
22.11.25	Lossiemouth - Brechin City	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Brechin City - Keith	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Brechin City - Turriff United	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
25.10.25	Brechin City - Dundonald Bluebell	3:1 ✺
Scottish Highland League
18.10.25	Brechin City - Wick Academy	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
23.05.21	Brechin City - Kelty Hearts	0:1
18.05.21	Kelty Hearts - Brechin City	2:1
Scottish League Cup
14.11.20	Brechin City - Kelty Hearts	0:2

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