Match Info

League One - Round 32

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: New Central Park (Kelty)


	Kelty Hearts		Queen of the South

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.67
	4.45	3.65	1.7
	4.59	3.78	1.72
	4.04	3.36	1.91	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.73
	4.49	3.73	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.95)	3.6 ↑ (3.42)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
21.1%

Draw
25.7%

Queen of the South
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kelty Hearts will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Queen of the South will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gourlay K. (G) 15. Clay C. (C) 35. Brydon J. 20. Corr D. 12. Fisher S. 7. Moore L. 18. Pettifer A. 6. Ferguson A. 26. Cunningham R. 17. McCarvel L. 10. Murray I.	1. Stewart R. (G) 12. Penman C. 5. Douglas M. (C) 6. Hannah J. 3. Charters T. 16. MacKenzie Z. 4. Lyon R. 88. Clark N. 8. Luissint B. 10. Kennedy K. 28. Guthrie K.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 8. Arnott A. 24. Cooper C. 31. Finlay M. 14. Graham J. 30. Leitch G. 29. Snoddy J. 2. Thomas M. 27. Wyllie J.	9. Allan J. 11. Dickenson B. 13. Green L. (G) 2. Hewitt M. 14. Johnstone B. 20. Mason S. 15. Rogerson N. 7. Smith L. 18. Stott J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Guthrie K. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
33', Stewart R. ↓, Green L. ↑,
35', Pettifer A. 🟨,
40', Ferguson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lyon R. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
46', Charters T. ↓, Dickenson B. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Allan J. ⚽, MacKenzie Z. (A),
62', Pettifer A. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
67', MacKenzie Z. 🟨,
68', Hannah J. 🟥,
70', Green L. 🟨,
74', Douglas M. 🟨,
80', Cunningham R. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Fisher S. ⚽, Clay C. (A),
89', MacKenzie Z. ↓, Hewitt M. ↑,
90', Clark N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kelty Hearts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kelty Hearts has had a series of away games.

In this match, Queen of the South is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kelty Hearts won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Kelty Hearts: 5.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Queen of South	9	2	1	6	10:27	-17	7

Last Results with these Odds

Kelty Hearts - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.09%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
28.03.26	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Stenhousemuir - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kelty Hearts - East Fife	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTLT
- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
27.03.26	Inverness - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Queen of the South - East Fife	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Queen of the South - Peterhead	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
10.01.26	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	3:1
15.11.25	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	1:1
30.08.25	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	2:1
19.04.25	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	1:3
01.03.25	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	0:1
21.12.24	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	2:0
05.10.24	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	1:5

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