Match Info

League One - Round 31

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)


	Hamilton Academical		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.1
	1.82	3.4	3.95
	1.8	3.71	4.56
	1.84	3.48	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.33
	1.72	3.44	4.41	Watch
	1.92	3.32	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)	4.16 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
51%

Draw
26.8%

Kelty Hearts
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamilton Academical that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamilton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Hamilton Academical will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lane J. (G) 2. Hutton Z. 4. Kilday L. 30. Gallacher T. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 19. Simpson E. 16. MacDonald K. 27. McKinstry S. 7. O'Hara K. 10. Bradley S. 9. Shaw O.	46. Gourlay K. (G) 12. Fisher S. 25. Davidson A. 20. Corr D. 17. McCarvel L. 15. Clay C. (C) 6. Ferguson A. 18. Pettifer A. 26. Cunningham R. 10. Murray I. 7. Moore L.
Substitutes
44. Aitken K. 45. Cameron F. 32. Eadie A. 20. Forrest C. 18. Morgan L. 49. Shiels D. 5. Smutek K. 51. Stafford N. (G) 34. Syme M.	21. Adamson R. (G) 8. Arnott A. 24. Cooper C. 14. Graham J. 30. Leitch G. 29. Snoddy J. 2. Thomas M. 27. Wyllie J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Pettifer A. ⚽, Murray I. (A),
36', Davidson A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Shaw O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Cunningham R. ⚽, Moore L. (A),
65', Kilday L. 🟨,
73', Cunningham R. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
82', McCarvel L. ↓, Graham J. ↑,
82', Murray I. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
88', Bradley S. ↓, Cameron F. ↑,
90', MacDonald K. 🟨,
90+4', Hutton Z. 🟨,
90+4', Davidson A. ↓, Wyllie J. ↑,
90+4', Corr D. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 3.

Hamilton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kelty Hearts is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hamilton is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamilton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09% Kelty Hearts: 5.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
21.03.26	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	East Fife - Hamilton Academical	0:3 ✺
03.03.26	Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLT
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
21.03.26	Stenhousemuir - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kelty Hearts - East Fife	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
31.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:0
22.11.25	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	3:1
20.09.25	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:4
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	2:1
Scottish League One
04.05.24	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	4:1
02.03.24	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:5
23.12.23	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	1:1

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