The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alloa Athletic 53.4%
Draw 26%
Kelty Hearts 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
24.1%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
23.2%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alloa Athletic's form might have worsened.
Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alloa Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kelty Hearts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. McFarlane L. (G) 24. Foster O. 15. McKay D. 2. Taggart S. 20. O'Donnell C. 27. Stewart L. 28. Adamson C. 12. Scougall S. 8. Roberts K. 29. Burnside C. 9. Donnelly L.
46. Gourlay K. (G) 12. Fisher S. 25. Davidson A. 20. Corr D. 3. Paterson B. 6. Ferguson A. 15. Clay C. 10. Murray I. 14. Graham J. 7. Moore L. 17. McCarvel L.
Substitutes
19. Buchanan S. 7. Clarke A. 17. Gallagher C. 5. Graham A. 4. Hetherington S. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C. 3. Waters C.
21. Adamson R. (G) 8. Arnott A. 24. Cooper C. 26. Cunningham R. 30. Leitch G. 18. Pettifer A. 2. Thomas M. 27. Wyllie J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Davidson A. ⚽, Murray I. (A),
27', Paterson B. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
35', McCarvel L. 🟨,
41', O'Donnell C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Corr D. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Burnside C. ⚽,
68', McCarvel L. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
68', Murray I. ↓, Cunningham R. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Burnside C. ⚽, Stewart L. (A),
78', Donnelly L. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
78', Adamson C. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
79', Fisher S. 🟨,
80', Graham J. ↓, Pettifer A. ↑,
80', Fisher S. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
83', Scougall S. ↓, Hetherington S. ↑,
88', O'Donnell C. ↓, Waters C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 3.
Alloa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Kelty Hearts has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Alloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Alloa is seen as the favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Alloa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.1:0.3).
Watch
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McFarlane L. (G) 
Burnside C. 
Clay C. 
Ogayi T. (G) 
Sammon C. 
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