Match Info

Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Mounthawk Park (Tralee)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Kerry		Cork City

	1	X	2
	6	3.9	1.46
	4.95	3.65	1.62
	5.76	3.89	1.7
	5.25	4.07	1.54	Watch
	5	3.5	1.57
	5.22	3.7	1.57
	5.6	3.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↓ (5.46)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kerry
17%

Draw
24.4%

Cork City
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

24.3%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

23.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kerry - Cork City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cork City will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Connor M. (G) 18. Aladesanusi S. 14. Hakkinen J. 29. Lee E. 4. Cantwell K. (C) 3. O'Connell S. 28. Brookwell N. 41. Bargary C. 10. Murphy C. 9. Kelliher R. 17. Brosnan C.	1. Brann C. (G) 2. Nevin H. 4. Kelleher F. (C) 5. Lyons C. 15. Drinan C. 14. O'Keeffe N. 17. Crowley D. 39. Murphy C. 24. Maguire S. 9. Keating R. 10. Mpongo H.
Substitutes
19. Bermingham B. 26. Britton M. 34. Keane R. 15. Koufie E. 40. Mangan H. (G) 7. McGrath S. 21. Palmer L. 23. Perez R. 32. Stack S.	8. Bridge A. 20. Fitzpatrick J. 3. Kiernan M. 38. Lee B. 33. McGrath T. 25. Murray M. 32. O'Connor D. 13. Odumosu D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Brookwell N. ⚽,
40', Bargary C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mpongo H. ↓, Fitzpatrick J. ↑,
47', Lyons C. 🟨,
52', Nevin H. 🟨,
75', Bargary C. 🟨,
88', Murphy C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier Division).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 0.

Kerry is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cork City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cork City is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kerry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cork City ✔	34	22	5	7	71:34	37	71
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
01.05.26	Athlone Town - Kerry	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Longford Town - Kerry	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Kerry - Treaty United	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Kerry - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Cork City - Kerry	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTL
- Cork City
Irish Division 1
01.05.26	Cork City - Cobh Ramblers	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Bray Wanderers - Cork City	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Cork City - Wexford	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Cork City - Kerry	4:2 ✺
03.04.26	Finn Harps - Cork City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
06.04.26	Cork City - Kerry	4:2
Club Friendly
04.02.26	Cork City - Kerry	4:1
05.02.25	Kerry - Cork City	1:2
Irish Division 1
13.09.24	Kerry - Cork City	1:4
26.07.24	Cork City - Kerry	2:0
03.05.24	Kerry - Cork City	0:1
16.02.24	Cork City - Kerry	2:0

Upcoming Matches