Match Info

Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Bishopsgate (Longford)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Longford Town		Cork City

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.70	1.70
	4.35	3.75	1.61
	4.09	4.34	1.76
	3.81	3.93	1.75	Watch
	4.10	3.95	1.71
	4.17	3.97	1.73
	3.75	3.70	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.27)	3.91 ↓ (3.97)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Longford Town
22.9%

Draw
23.5%

Cork City
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.1%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

22.2%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+4%)

Longford Town - Cork City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moore K. (G) 6. Adenekan S. 18. Brady S. 27. Brunton K. 10. Doran A. (C) 21. Hough J. 5. McCarthy T. 28. Moore S. 15. Murtagh D. 23. Paraschiv A. 14. Williams D.	13. Odumosu D. (G) 8. Aidoo J. 17. Crowley D. 37. Downey L. 28. Feely R. 9. Keating R. 4. Kelleher F. 24. Maguire S. 10. Mpongo H. 25. Murray M. 23. N’sa C.
Substitutes
16. Bailey J. 19. Campbell F. 17. Canavan M. 22. Cioch A. 24. Dawson R. 7. George D. 11. Harris M. 9. Ugbesia S. 25. Woodcock L.	6. Bolger G. 1. Brann C. (G) 47. Daly C. 15. Drinan C. 20. Fitzpatrick J. 38. Lee B. 2. Nevin H. 45. Obenge D. 14. O'Keeffe N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Murtagh D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', N’sa C. ↓, Drinan C. ↑,
57', Crowley D. ↓, Bolger G. ↑,
57', Aidoo J. ↓, O'Keeffe N. ↑,
57', Murray M. ↓, Fitzpatrick J. ↑,
59', Brady S. ↓, Bailey J. ↑,
78', Williams D. ↓, Ugbesia S. ↑,
79', Moore K. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Doran A. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Bolger G. ⚽,

Preview

Cork City is Confirmed as champions.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longford won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Cork City could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Cork City is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Longford has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:59 (averaging 0.8:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Longford against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with 4:29 goals (averaging 0.4:2.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cork City ✔	34	22	5	7	71:34	37	71
5	Longford	34	13	9	12	47:45	2	48

Last Results with these Odds

Longford Town - the odds 4.27 are the expected chance of winning is 21.52%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Longford Town
Irish Division 1
18.09.26	Finn Harps - Longford Town	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Longford Town - Treaty United	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Longford Town - Kerry	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cobh Ramblers - Longford Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Longford Town - Bray Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTW
- Cork City
Irish Division 1
18.09.26	Cork City - University College Dublin	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	Cork City - Cobh Ramblers	2:3 ✺
04.09.26	Bray Wanderers - Cork City	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cork City - Wexford	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Treaty United - Cork City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Cork City - Longford Town	3:4
16.05.26	Longford Town - Cork City	0:2
13.03.26	Cork City - Longford Town	2:1
30.08.24	Cork City - Longford Town	3:2
07.06.24	Cork City - Longford Town	2:0
20.04.24	Longford Town - Cork City	1:4
09.03.24	Longford Town - Cork City	0:2

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