Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Mounthawk Park (Tralee)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Kerry		Bray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.40	2.20
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.76	4.03	2.3
	2.72	3.65	2.25	Watch
	2.7	3.95	2.25
	2.71	3.54	2.23
	2.7	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.55)	3.62 ↓ (3.76)	2.24 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kerry
33.8%

Draw
25.3%

Bray Wanderers
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

24.5%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Bray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Kerry - Bray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Connor M. (G) 3. O'Connell S. 14. Hakkinen J. 28. Brookwell N. 18. Aladesanusi S. 29. Lee E. 41. Bargary C. 24. Borden V. 23. Perez R. 7. McGrath S. (C) 10. Murphy C.	13. Hogan R. (G) 2. Kizenga A. 4. Duggan J. 27. O'Shea D. (C) 12. Osagie D. 17. Oluwabiyi A. 18. McCormack B. 16. Tucker K. 20. Sammy T. 10. Ferizaj R. 21. Mustali E.
Substitutes
17. Brosnan C. 51. Campbell C. 44. Halwax H. (G) 35. Healy A. 38. Healy C. 34. Keane R. 37. McCormack C. 21. Palmer L.	14. Azede N. 30. Cheese E. 5. Havales S. 15. Kelly R. 7. Knight C. 25. McGuinnes S. (G) 19. Reddy Z. 23. Ryan J. 33. Shelley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sammy T. ⚽,
45+1', Tucker K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Tucker K. ↓, Ryan J. ↑,
60', Kizenga A. ↓, Reddy Z. ↑,
63', Ferizaj R. 🟨,
65', Perez R. ↓, Keane R. ↑,
83', Borden V. ↓, Brosnan C. ↑,
83', McGrath S. ↓, Healy C. ↑,
86', Brookwell N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 2.

Kerry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bray Wanderers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kerry won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bray	34	15	8	11	65:49	16	53
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48

Last Results with these Odds

Bray Wanderers - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
05.09.26	Longford Town - Kerry	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Kerry - Treaty United	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Kerry - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.26	Sligo Rovers - Kerry	4:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Cork City - Kerry	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTLL
- Bray Wanderers
Irish Division 1
04.09.26	Bray Wanderers - Cork City	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Athlone Town - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Longford Town - Bray Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
14.08.26	Galway United - Bray Wanderers	2:1 penalties ✺
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Bray Wanderers - Finn Harps	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
31.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	0:4
22.05.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	2:2
27.03.26	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	2:1
17.10.25	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	5:1
20.06.25	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	2:1
25.04.25	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	4:2
07.03.25	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	0:1

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