The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kerry 40.7%
Draw 27.1%
Wexford 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
25.1%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
24.5%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kerry's form might have worsened.
Wexford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wexford's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kerry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wexford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Kerry - Wexford Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kerry will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Wexford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Connor M. (G) 3. O'Connell S. 14. Hakkinen J. 18. Aladesanusi S. 29. Lee E. 23. Perez R. 24. Borden V. 28. Brookwell N. 7. McGrath S. 10. Murphy C. 17. Brosnan C.
20. Martin P. (G) 2. Murphy M. 5. McCourt R. 6. Bartley R. 7. Rowe M. 10. Harnett K. 15. Ritchie R. 11. Wynne J. 17. Tetteh G. 26. Dignam K. 33. Doyle J.
Substitutes
51. Campbell C. 44. Halwax H. (G) 35. Healy A. 38. Healy C. 34. Keane R. 37. McCormack C. 21. Palmer L.
8. Abada Z. 37. Byrne K. 14. Doyle L. 27. Mazur A. 1. Moody A. (G) 32. Mullan C. 18. Norval A. 9. O'Sullivan Z. 28. Voloshyn I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Rowe M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, McGrath S. ⚽,
72', Brosnan C. 🟨,
76', Bartley R. ↓, O'Sullivan Z. ↑,
79', Brosnan C. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', Harnett K. 🟥,
87', Palmer L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Kerry has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:33 (averaging 1.1:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kerry against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:14 goals (averaging 0.9:2 per game).