Match Info

Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Finn Park (Ballybofey)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Finn Harps		Kerry

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.25	1.93
	3.80	3.35	1.80
	3.69	3.70	2.00
	3.81	3.69	1.81	Watch
	3.60	3.65	1.95
	3.55	3.89	1.96
	3.20	3.30	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.78)	3.55 ↓ (3.77)	1.92 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Harps
25.8%

Draw
26%

Kerry
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Finn Harps - Kerry Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Kerry (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kerry will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kerry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sheridan C. (G) 5. Brogan O. 6. Bradley-Walsh J. 34. McAteer J. 14. Coyle D. 18. Harkin C. 7. Benny 23. Mckenlay F. 24. McDaid A. 10. McNamee T. (C) 28. McLaughlin A.	1. Connor M. (G) 23. Perez R. 17. Brosnan C. 18. Aladesanusi S. 14. Hakkinen J. 29. Lee E. 24. Borden V. 10. Murphy C. 3. O'Connell S. 28. Brookwell N. 7. McGrath S. (C)
Substitutes
45. Bonner C. 16. Bosakani B. 41. Doherty L. 3. Ferns R. 8. Hutchison M. 25. Lorenzo (G) 17. McGranaghan C. 35. Preston T. 20. Priosti G.	41. Bargary C. 51. Campbell C. 44. Halwax H. (G) 35. Healy A. 38. Healy C. 34. Keane R. 21. Palmer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Benny ⚽,
22', Benny (Penalty Awarded),
27', McAteer J. 🟨,
36', McGrath S. 🟨,
43', McLaughlin A. ↓, Priosti G. ↑,
45+2', Perez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Perez R. ↓, Bargary C. ↑,
56', Benny 🟨,
69', Brosnan C. ↓, Keane R. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Aladesanusi S. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Bargary C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Finn Harps (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kerry has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kerry holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Finn Harps has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:14 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Finn Harps against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:4 goals (averaging 1.3:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	31:68	-37	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Harps
Irish Division 1
25.09.26	Treaty United - Finn Harps	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Finn Harps - Longford Town	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Wexford - Finn Harps	1:3 ✺
04.09.26	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWLL
- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
25.09.26	Kerry - Wexford	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Athlone Town - Kerry	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Longford Town - Kerry	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Kerry - Treaty United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
24.07.26	Kerry - Finn Harps	2:1
08.05.26	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:0
20.03.26	Kerry - Finn Harps	1:0
13.10.25	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:1
08.08.25	Kerry - Finn Harps	0:1
18.04.25	Finn Harps - Kerry	4:2
14.02.25	Kerry - Finn Harps	2:0

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