Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Athlone Town Stadium (Athlone) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	18:45	LOI TV


	Athlone Town		Kerry

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	2.85
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.28	3.37	3.18
	2.18	3.33	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.12	3.15	3.16
	2.12	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.15)	3.24 ↓ (3.31)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athlone Town
42%

Draw
28.2%

Kerry
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athlone Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Athlone Town - Kerry Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Athlone Town will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clarke B. (G) 7. Connolly D. 27. Crawford J. 3. O'Connor K. 29. Kehir J. 24. Cleary C. 19. Smith W. 12. Brennan S. 11. McManus B. 18. Grogan P. 14. Lomboto G.	1. Connor M. (G) 3. O'Connell S. 18. Aladesanusi S. 14. Hakkinen J. 38. Healy C. 7. McGrath S. 29. Lee E. 35. Healy A. 24. Borden V. 23. Perez R. 10. Murphy C.
Substitutes
36. Ayinde A. 23. Considine T. 33. Farnham J. 9. Ferry P. 16. Lawless Z. 10. Lyons R. 5. O'Connor E. 13. Trainor A. (G) 2. Webb R.	17. Brosnan C. 51. Campbell C. 44. Halwax H. (G) 34. Keane R. 37. McCormack C. 11. Okwute D. 21. Palmer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Brennan S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Healy C. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
50', Hakkinen J. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Cleary C. ⚽,
71', Borden V. ↓, Keane R. ↑,
71', McGrath S. ↓, Brosnan C. ↑,
74', Grogan P. ↓, Ferry P. ↑,
78', Perez R. 🟨,
85', Cleary C. ↓, Lyons R. ↑,
87', Keane R. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Ferry P. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 1.

Athlone Town has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Kerry have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Athlone Town has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Athlone Town holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Athlone Town has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:23 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Athlone Town against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Kerry - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
11.09.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Athlone Town - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Wexford - Athlone Town	0:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
14.08.26	Waterford - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWWL
- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
11.09.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Longford Town - Kerry	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Kerry - Treaty United	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Kerry - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.26	Sligo Rovers - Kerry	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
12.06.26	Kerry - Athlone Town	1:0
01.05.26	Athlone Town - Kerry	0:0
20.02.26	Kerry - Athlone Town	0:1
22.09.25	Athlone Town - Kerry	0:0
01.08.25	Kerry - Athlone Town	4:0
Irish FAI Cup
18.07.25	Kerry - Athlone Town	2:1 ET
Irish Division 1
13.06.25	Athlone Town - Kerry	2:2

Athlone Town - Kerry