Match Info

FAI Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Mounthawk Park (Tralee)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Kerry		Sligo Rovers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.61
	3.5	3.1	1.98
	3.62	3.25	2.08
	25.00	17.14	1.01	Watch
	3.77	3.32	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.1 ↑ (4.26)	6.08 ↑ (3.8)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kerry
14.2%

Draw
18.9%

Sligo Rovers
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

24%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

25.6%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kerry's form might have worsened.

Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sligo Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kerry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sligo Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kerry - Sligo Rovers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kerry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Connor M. (G) 15. Williams K. 5. McQueen C. 3. O'Connell S. 19. O'Connor D. 6. Mujaguzi C. 8. Teahan R. (C) 28. Brookwell N. 4. Crowe O. 10. Adams J. 14. Cleary R.	29. Sargeant S. (G) 2. Agbaje E. 4. Quirk S. 5. McClean P. (C) 3. Stewart S. 15. Denham O. 10. Harkin C. 8. Hakiki J. 28. O'Kane R. 16. McManus J. 47. Elding O.
Substitutes
23. Barrett F. 17. Brosnan C. 46. Doolan L. 40. Foley D. (G) 20. Healy A. 7. Mcgrath S. 11. Okwute D. 21. Palmer L. 36. Perez R.	21. Mahon J. 12. Manning R. 23. McDonagh K. 52. McElroy G. 71. Patton D. 46. Reynolds C. 31. Walsh C. (G) 9. Waweru W. 6. Wolfe M.
Coaches
Healy C.	Russell J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Elding O. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Elding O. ⚽,
27', O'Connor D. ↓, Brosnan C. ↑,
37', O'Connell S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', Mujaguzi C. ↓, Okwute D. ↑,
60', Williams K. ↓, Barrett F. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Elding O. ⚽,
62', Hakiki J. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Brosnan C. ⚽,
69', Stewart S. 🟨,
76', Cleary R. ↓, Healy A. ↑,
76', Crowe O. ↓, Mcgrath S. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Adams J. (Pen),
78', Agbaje E. 🟨,
82', O'Kane R. ↓, Wolfe M. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Brosnan C. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
101', Harkin C. ↓, Waweru W. ↑,
101', Stewart S. ↓, McDonagh K. ↑,
109', McManus J. ↓, Patton D. ↑,
116', Patton D. 🟨,
117', 4 - 3, Okwute D. ⚽,
120+2', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kerry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kerry has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sligo Rovers is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
05.09.25	Kerry - Cobh Ramblers	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Dundalk - Kerry	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	Kerry - Longford Town	1:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.25	Kerry - Cobh Ramblers	2:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
08.08.25	Kerry - Finn Harps	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TTWWL
- Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division
30.08.25	Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Waterford - Sligo Rovers	1:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.25	Bohemians Dublin - Sligo Rovers	0:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
10.08.25	St Patricks Athletic - Sligo Rovers	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 TWWLL

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