Match Info

Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Mounthawk Park (Tralee)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Kerry		Finn Harps

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.50	4.60
	1.55	3.85	5.15
	1.58	4.16	5.82
	1.61	3.89	4.75	Watch
	1.5	4.25	6
	1.49	3.94	5.75	Watch
	1.56	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)	3.91 ↑ (3.64)	5.32 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kerry
59.1%

Draw
23.6%

Finn Harps
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.6%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Kerry - Finn Harps Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kerry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kerry will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Connor M. (G) 28. Brookwell N. 18. Aladesanusi S. 14. Hakkinen J. 7. McGrath S. (C) 24. Borden V. 29. Lee E. 3. O'Connell S. 11. Okwute D. 10. Murphy C. 41. Bargary C.	25. Lorenzo (G) 10. McNamee T. (C) 14. Coyle D. 8. Hutchison M. 6. Bradley-Walsh J. 33. Fanle A. 29. Lumingo N. 11. McAteer G. 20. Priosti G. 7. Benny 77. McHugh O.
Substitutes
26. Britton M. 17. Brosnan C. 44. Halwax H. (G) 35. Healy A. 38. Healy C. 34. Keane R. 21. Palmer L. 23. Perez R. 32. Stack S.	16. Bosakani B. 41. Doherty L. 24. McDaid A. 35. Preston T. 1. Sheridan C. (G) 4. Tourish C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, McGrath S. ⚽,
20', Benny 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Bargary C. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Priosti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', McDaid A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 1.

Kerry is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Finn Harps is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kerry is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kerry won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	31:68	-37	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Kerry - Shelbourne	3:2 penalties ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Wexford - Kerry	2:2 ✺
03.07.26	Treaty United - Kerry	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Kerry - Longford Town	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	University College Dublin - Kerry	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.7 WTLWW
- Finn Harps
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Finn Harps - Treaty United	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Finn Harps - Wexford	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	Cobh Ramblers - Finn Harps	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
08.05.26	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:0
20.03.26	Kerry - Finn Harps	1:0
13.10.25	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:1
08.08.25	Kerry - Finn Harps	0:1
18.04.25	Finn Harps - Kerry	4:2
14.02.25	Kerry - Finn Harps	2:0
27.09.24	Kerry - Finn Harps	1:1

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