Match Info

National League North - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.2
	2.15	3.25	3.15
	2.12	3.48	3.15
	1.87	3.83	3.57	Watch
	2.1	3.41	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.87)	3.44 ↓ (3.83)	3.28 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
45.1%

Draw
26.8%

Spennymoor Town
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Reynolds R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 2.

Kidderminster has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spennymoor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Spennymoor has had a series of home games.

Kidderminster might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kidderminster won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
21.10.25	Merthyr Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
04.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLLT
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
21.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	0:5 ✺
18.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town	6:4 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
04.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Bedford Town - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.02.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:3
05.10.24	Spennymoor Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
11.02.23	Spennymoor Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2
03.09.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	4:1
15.03.22	Spennymoor Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0
30.10.21	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	4:0
18.01.20	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:1

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