Match Info

1. Lig - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Serik Belediyespor		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2	Watch
	2.77	3.63	2.19
	2.88	3.76	2.29
	3	3.73	2.13	Watch
	3	3.25	2.25
	3	3.32	2.15	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.84)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	2.2 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
31.9%

Draw
26.3%

Keçiörengücü
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25.5%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

25.8%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Serik Belediyespor aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Serik Belediyespor - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Ersu E. (G) 2. Tashkyn S. 24. Gotsuk K. 35. Isciler B. 79. Altiparmak G. 8. Silva M. 16. Sen K. 3. Terzi E. 10. Amaral J. 7. Berkovsky I. 70. Ozcan S.	88. Ozer A. (G) 10. Bulut H. 23. Mexer 5. Caliskan O. 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 6. Develi E. 7. Roshi O. 78. Fernandes J. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.
Substitutes
85. Bashak T. 19. Cetin S. 23. Gunes E. (G) 11. Karadeniz G. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 9. Sadygov I. 17. Yukseloglu H.	9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 17. Bilgic H. 4. Celik A. 27. Kucuksolak E. 73. Lus S. 19. Osman H. 77. Ozler T. 32. Poyraz E. 18. Satilmis E. (G)
Coaches
Sinan P.	Kosukavak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Fernandes J. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 0 - 2, Ezeh F. ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
27', Silva M. 🟨,
31', Bulut H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Diouf M. ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
66', Silva M. ↓, Cetin S. ↑,
66', Sen K. ↓, Karadeniz G. ↑,
71', Roshi O. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Berkovsky I. ⚽, Altiparmak G. (A),
80', Ezeh F. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
81', Diouf M. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
88', Berkovsky I. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
89', Bulut H. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
90', Ozcan S. ↓, Yukseloglu H. ↑,
90', Fernandes J. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Keçiörengücü will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B. (Suspended) Celenk E. (Suspended) Ceylan B. (Yellow Cards) Dilli S. (Suspended) Kok D. (Inactive) Martynov A. (Yellow Cards) Tunali M. (Suspended) Yucedag E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Akan M. (Inactive) Akdag I. (Yellow Cards) Duman A. (Suspended) Keskin B. (Suspended) Tasbakir R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Wellington Nascimento (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Serik Belediyespor - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Serik Belediyespor - Adana Demirspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Aliaga - Serik Belediyespor	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWL
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish Cup
02.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Kayserispor	2:0 ET ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Adana Demirspor - Keçiörengücü	2:7 ✺
01.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTWW

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