The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kharkiv 43.9%
Draw 28.4%
Karpaty Lviv 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
29.3%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
33.3%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kharkiv's form might have worsened.
Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karpaty Lviv's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Kharkiv - Karpaty Lviv Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kharkiv will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kharkiv will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 27. Krupskyi I. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 26. Zabergja B. 8. Castillo S. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 19. Rashica E. 98. Itodo P.
1. Domchak N. (G) 77. Sych O. 4. Baboglo V. (C) 55. Stetskov T. 73. Lyakh R. 35. Edson Fernando 70. Alkain X. 8. Chachua A. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 26. Kostenko Y. 19. Karabin Y.
Substitutes
15. Antyukh D. 7. Ari Moura 77. Cauan Baptistella 11. Churko V. 37. Dubko V. 14. Gadzhyev R. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 17. Kogut I. 25. Lytvynenko I. 24. Martynyuk O. 99. Mba C. 23. Protsenko Y. (G)
5. Buleza A. 28. Dyedov O. 18. Eriki 30. Klishchuk A. (G) 14. Kvasnytsya I. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 80. Mysak R. (G) 56. Reznik V. 33. Shakh A.
Coaches
Bartulovic M.
Fernandez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Churko V. ↑,
27', Pavlyuk Y. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Zabergja B. ⚽, Castillo S. (A),
45', Zabergja B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Itodo P. 🟨,
49', Stetskov T. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Chachua A. ⚽, Rubchynskyi V. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Chachua A. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Kaliuzhnyi I. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Itodo P. ⚽, Castillo S. (A),
70', Kostenko Y. 🟨,
71', Karabin Y. ↓, Eriki ↑,
71', Edson Fernando ↓, Buleza A. ↑,
75', Rashica E. ↓, Ari Moura ↑,
75', Zabergja B. ↓, Antyukh D. ↑,
80', Rubchynskyi V. ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
80', Alkain X. ↓, Kvasnytsya I. ↑,
87', Churko V. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
87', Castillo S. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
87', Krupskyi I. 🟨,
90', Kostenko Y. ↓, Miroshnichenko D. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Metalist 1925 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Metalist 1925 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Ukraine
World
Watch
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Varakuta D. (G) 
Zabergja B. 
Castillo S. 
Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 
Rashica E. 
Itodo P. 
Baboglo V. (C) 
Edson Fernando 
Alkain X. 
Cauan Baptistella 
Bartulovic M. 
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