Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Kazakhstan	Q Football, Q Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1


	Khimki		Fakel

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.2	3.75
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.05)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	3.75 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimki
43%

Draw
30.8%

Fakel
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

29.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Khimki - Fakel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Khimki will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Fakel will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khimki: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Kokarev N. (G) 72. Fernandez D. 25. Filin A. 14. Dzhikiya G. 24. Farina E. 22. Mejia R. 18. Bakaev Z. 77. Corredera A. 32. Vera L. 9. Rudenko A. 91. Zabolotnyi A. (C)	31. Belenov A. (G) 4. Dziov M. 22. Yurganov I. 47. Bozhin S. 64. Ivlev A. 77. Lomovitskiy A. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 10. Alshin I. 71. Kovalev A. 6. Mertens D. 15. Iljin V.
Substitutes
29. Amian B. 17. Berkovskiy I. 2. Golubovic P. 55. Kaplenko K. 97. Magomedov B. 6. Melentijevic S. 11. Mirzov R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 99. Orinho 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D.	7. Brahimi M. 92. Bryzgalov S. 17. Giorgobiani N. 1. Gudiev V. (G) 13. Kalinin I. 11. Motpan N. 19. Pusi B. 72. Senhadji R. 21. Shchetinin M. 23. Yakimov V.
Coaches
Artiga F.	Pyatibratov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Farina E. ⚽, Zabolotnyi A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
46', Kovalev A. ↓, Yakimov V. ↑,
67', Ivlev A. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
69', Rudenko A. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
69', Mertens D. 🟨,
76', Alshin I. ↓, Brahimi M. ↑,
76', Mertens D. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
78', Fernandez D. 🟨,
81', Fernandez D. ↓, Golubovic P. ↑,
82', Corredera A. ↓, Berkovskiy I. ↑,
82', Bakaev Z. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
89', Vera L. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khimki won 0.

Fakel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Khimki is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Khimki won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Khimki won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khimki
Club Friendly
18.02.25	Khimki - KAMAZ	1:6 ✺
05.02.25	Khimki - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
08.12.24	Dynamo Moscow - Khimki	4:1 ✺
01.12.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Khimki	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
27.11.24	Ural - Khimki	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWLWL
- Fakel Voronezh
Club Friendly
06.02.25	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
08.12.24	Fakel - CSKA Moscow	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Fakel	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Fakel - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Fakel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
03.11.24	Fakel - Khimki	1:1
03.03.23	Fakel - Khimki	1:1
15.10.22	Khimki - Fakel	0:0
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Khimki - Fakel	0:1
Russian FNL Cup
20.02.20	Khimki - Fakel	1:1
Russian FNL
21.09.19	Fakel - Khimki	0:3
03.03.19	Khimki - Fakel	1:1

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