Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 17

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Anzhi Arena (Kaspijsk)

Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Dynamo Makhachkala		Fakel

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.81	3.94
	2.33	3.02	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.39)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	3.94 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Makhachkala
41.6%

Draw
33.6%

Fakel
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.8%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dynamo Makhachkala - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Volk D. (G) 13. Kagermazov S. 4. Shumakhov I. 70. Paltsev V. 99. Alibekov M. 47. Glushkov N. 16. Mrezigue H. 71. Dapo J. 9. Magomedov R. 25. Agalarov G. 11. Cacintura E.	1. Gudiev V. (G) 22. Yurganov I. 72. Senhadji R. 13. Kalinin I. 7. Brahimi M. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 23. Yakimov V. 6. Mertens D. 10. Alshin I. 20. Markov E. 9. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
8. Angban V. 7. Gadzhiev A. 53. Gadzhiev S. 54. Kirsch I. 82. Kotin N. 17. Krachkovskii A. 39. Magomedov T. (G) 28. Serderov S. 77. Sundukov T. 5. Tabidze J. 22. Yusupov Z. 19. Zinovich K.	8. Bagamaev A. 77. Bagatelia L. 31. Belenov A. (G) 47. Bozhin S. 92. Bryzgalov S. 17. Giorgobiani N. 64. Ivlev A. 88. Masternoy V. 11. Motpan N. 21. Shchetinin M. 96. Simonov K. 98. Vasin I.
Coaches
Bidzhiev H.	Pyatibratov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dapo J. ↓, Sundukov T. ↑,
66', Kashtanov A. 🟨,
72', Brahimi M. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
80', Magomedov R. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
80', Kalinin I. ↓, Bozhin S. ↑,
86', Kagermazov S. 🟨,
88', Mertens D. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
89', Mrezigue H. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Recent matches Dynamo Makhachkala is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fakel is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dynamo Makhachkala could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dynamo Makhachkala will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Krachkovskii A. (Leg Injury) Sandrachuk A. (Knee Injury) Tabidze J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fakel: Dziov M. (Yellow Cards)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Cup
27.11.24	Sochi - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
24.11.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWLT
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
24.11.24	Fakel - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Fakel	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Fakel - Khimki	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
22.10.24	Fakel - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
06.10.24	Fakel - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1

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