Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 18

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)

Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Fakel		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.26	2.96	2.17
	4.31	3.06	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.98)	3.01 ↓ (3.53)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
22.8%

Draw
32.4%

CSKA Moscow
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

27.9%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

28.6%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Fakel - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudiev V. (G) 10. Alshin I. 7. Brahimi M. 13. Kalinin I. 9. Kashtanov A. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 20. Markov E. 6. Mertens D. 72. Senhadji R. 23. Yakimov V. 22. Yurganov I.	49. Torop V. (G) 78. Diveev I. 21. Fayzullaev A. 13. Khellven 31. Kislyak M. 3. Krugovoy D. 27. Moises 11. Musaev T. 10. Oblyakov I. 15. Pjanic M. 4. Willyan Rocha
Substitutes
8. Bagamaev A. 77. Bagatelia L. 31. Belenov A. (G) 47. Bozhin S. 92. Bryzgalov S. 4. Dziov M. 17. Giorgobiani N. 64. Ivlev A. 88. Masternoy V. 11. Motpan N. 21. Shchetinin M. 96. Simonov K.	77. Agapov I. 35. Akinfeev I. (G) 25. Bistrovic K. 45. Bokov D. (G) 22. Gajic M. 17. Glebov K. 20. Koita S. 90. Lukin M. 6. Mukhin M. 8. Shumansky A. 46. Yakovlev V. 19. Zhemaletdinov R.
Coaches
Pyatibratov D.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Musaev T. ⚽, Krugovoy D. (A),
39', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Yakimov V. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
70', Brahimi M. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
70', Mertens D. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
75', Alshin I. ↓, Bozhin S. ↑,
76', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Shchetinin M. ↑,
79', Pjanic M. 🟨,
81', Motpan N. 🟨,
85', Oblyakov I. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑,
86', Shchetinin M. 🟨,
87', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fakel won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

CSKA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CSKA is a favorite.

There will not play in CSKA: Yakovlev V. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fakel won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
01.12.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Fakel	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Fakel - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Fakel	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Fakel - Khimki	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TTLTT
- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
30.11.24	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
26.11.24	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
23.11.24	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Krylya Sovetov - CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
06.11.24	Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
26.10.24	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	0:0
07.04.24	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	4:1
Club Friendly
05.02.24	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	1:0
Russian Premier League
11.11.23	Fakel - CSKA Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
04.10.23	Fakel - CSKA Moscow	2:1 penalties
09.08.23	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	0:2
Russian Premier League
02.04.23	Fakel - CSKA Moscow	0:2

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