Match Info

FA Trophy - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.5
	1.9	3.76	3.42
	1.86	3.97	3.55
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.88	3.78	3.68
	2.1	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.07)	3.69 ↑ (3.46)	3.43 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
48.2%

Draw
24.9%

Wealdstone
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Wealdstone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Adarkwa S. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Reynolds R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Olomola O. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Morgan-Smith A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Boldewijn E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kandola K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, McAvoy C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Devine R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Obiero M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Reynolds R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Tshikuna N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Foulkes J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Spencer S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Evans O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent performances by Kidderminster have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wealdstone's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kidderminster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kidderminster could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kidderminster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Kidderminster Harriers - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.27%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Wealdstone - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
24.02.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Marine	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Kidderminster Harriers	5:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Halifax Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTLW
- Wealdstone
English National League
24.02.26	Wealdstone - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sutton United - Wealdstone	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Wealdstone - York City	0:3 ✺
10.02.26	Altrincham - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Eastleigh - Wealdstone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.03.24	Wealdstone - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
07.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Wealdstone	1:0

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