Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5
	1.45	4.65	5.53
	1.5	4	5
	1.47	4.4	5.85	Watch
	1.47	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)	4.31 ↑ (4)	5.4 (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
61.7%

Draw
21.3%

Ashton United
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Ashton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Kidderminster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ashton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kidderminster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kidderminster is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kidderminster won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
07.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
03.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Barnet	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Oldham Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Eastleigh - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLL
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
03.10.23	Ashton United - Morpeth Town	4:3 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Lancaster City - Ashton United	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
26.09.23	Ashton United - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Guiseley - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.02.19	Ashton United - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
11.08.18	Kidderminster Harriers - Ashton United	3:3

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