Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Bold+
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Kilmarnock		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.62	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.6
	4.75	3.75	1.68	Watch
	5.18	3.96	1.64
	4.91	4.08	1.62	Watch
	5.1	4.18	1.67
	4.75	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (3.68)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)	1.64 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kilmarnock
19%

Draw
23.8%

Copenhagen
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kilmarnock's form might have worsened.

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Copenhagen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Copenhagen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5.9%	94.1%

Kilmarnock - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Hara K. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 4. Wright J. 5. Mayo L. 17. Findlay S. 11. Armstrong D. 22. Donnelly L. 8. Lyons B. 10. Kennedy M. 9. Vassell K. (C) 23. Watkins M.	1. Trott N. (G) 2. Diks K. 3. Vavro D. 5. Gabriel Pereira 15. Lopez M. 47. Froholdt V. 12. Lerager L. 33. Falk R. 10. Elyounoussi M. 7. Claesson V. (C) 30. Achouri E.
Substitutes
19. Anderson B. 51. Bainbridge O. 26. Brannan B. 18. Cameron I. 6. Deas R. 14. Mackay-Steven G. 20. McCrorie R. (G) 7. McKenzie R. 3. Ndaba C. 31. Polworth L. 24. Wales B. 12. Watson D.	58. Bidstrup H. 45. Chiakha A. 4. Garananga M. 38. Hojer O. 8. Mattsson M. 18. Oskarsson O. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 21. Sander T. (G)
Coaches
McInnes D.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Watkins M. ⚽, Findlay S. (A),
25', Donnelly L. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Lerager L. 🟨,
57', Armstrong D. 🟨,
63', Froholdt V. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Mayo L. (Own goal), Elyounoussi M. (A),
75', Wright J. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
75', Watkins M. ↓, Wales B. ↑,
77', Achouri E. ↓, Robert ↑,
81', Claesson V. ↓, Mattsson M. ↑,
83', Armstrong D. ↓, Mackay-Steven G. ↑,
83', Burroughs J. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Kilmarnock is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Copenhagen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Kilmarnock have a series of guest games.

In this match Copenhagen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Premier League
25.08.24	Aberdeen - Kilmarnock	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Copenhagen - Kilmarnock	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
18.08.24	Motherwell - Kilmarnock	1:0 ET ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Tromsø - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.08.24	Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
25.08.24	Nordsjælland - Copenhagen	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Copenhagen - Kilmarnock	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
18.08.24	Copenhagen - Viborg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Baník Ostrava - Copenhagen	1:1 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
11.08.24	SønderjyskE - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Copenhagen - Kilmarnock	2:0

Upcoming Matches