Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	FCK TV
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Copenhagen		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.25	7.5	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.75
	1.25	5.5	11	Watch
	1.25	6.2	11.49
	1.23	6.32	10.65	Watch
	1.25	5.5	8.5
	1.24	6.57	12.6
	1.25	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	5.92 ↑ (5.09)	10.31 ↑ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
75.1%

Draw
15.8%

Kilmarnock
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

18.3%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

17.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Copenhagen's performance.

Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	10.5%	0%

Copenhagen - Kilmarnock Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (33 of 35 users predict this - 94.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trott N. (G) 22. Gocholeishvili G. 3. Vavro D. 2. Diks K. 24. Meling B. 12. Lerager L. 33. Falk R. (C) 10. Elyounoussi M. 47. Froholdt V. 18. Oskarsson O. 30. Achouri E.	1. O'Hara K. (G) 5. Mayo L. 4. Wright J. 17. Findlay S. 2. Burroughs J. 8. Lyons B. 22. Donnelly L. 12. Watson D. 10. Kennedy M. 9. Vassell K. (C) 23. Watkins M.
Substitutes
45. Chiakha A. 36. Clem W. 5. Gabriel Pereira 4. Garananga M. 38. Hojer O. 8. Mattsson M. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 21. Sander T. (G)	30. Aidan G. (G) 19. Anderson B. 11. Armstrong D. 51. Bainbridge O. 18. Cameron I. 6. Deas R. 14. Mackay-Steven G. 20. McCrorie R. (G) 7. McKenzie R. 3. Ndaba C. 31. Polworth L. 24. Wales B.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	McInnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Vavro D. 🟨,
39', Meling B. ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Froholdt V. ↓, Mattsson M. ↑,
60', Diks K. 🟨,
60', Wright J. 🟨,
64', McInnes D. 🟨,
66', Wright J. ↓, Deas R. ↑,
71', Burroughs J. ↓, Bainbridge O. ↑,
72', Vassell K. ↓, Wales B. ↑,
72', Kennedy M. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
76', O'Hara K. 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Diks K. (Pen),
80', Elyounoussi M. 🟨,
85', Achouri E. ↓, Robert ↑,
87', Watkins M. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
90+1', Bainbridge O. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Falk R. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Copenhagen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kilmarnock is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kilmarnock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Copenhagen is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
18.08.24	Copenhagen - Viborg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Baník Ostrava - Copenhagen	1:1 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
11.08.24	SønderjyskE - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Copenhagen - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
04.08.24	Copenhagen - Randers FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWWT
- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish League Cup
18.08.24	Motherwell - Kilmarnock	1:0 ET ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Tromsø - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.08.24	Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Kilmarnock - Tromsø	2:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
04.08.24	Celtic - Kilmarnock	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLTL

Upcoming Matches