Match Info

Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hungary	Net4+


	Kilmarnock		Ross County

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.61	3.7	5.5
	1.83	3.3	4.75
	1.83	3.4	5.19
	1.83	3.31	4.96	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.8
	1.79	3.48	4.86	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)	3.44 ↓ (3.66)	5.07 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilmarnock
53.8%

Draw
27.6%

Ross County
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

20.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kilmarnock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Kilmarnock - Ross County Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ross County will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kilmarnock (votes: 1 - 50%). Ross County (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Hara K. (G) 8. Lyons B. (C) 5. Mayo L. 17. Findlay S. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Armstrong D. 22. Donnelly L. 6. Deas R. 24. Wales B. 15. Murray F. 19. Anderson B.	18. Amissah J. (G) 12. Tomkinson J. 20. Lopata K. 19. Campbell E. 4. Wright A. 8. Randall C. 6. Allardice S. 15. Ashworth Z. 26. White J. 42. Kenneh N. 9. Hale R.
Substitutes
18. Cameron I. 14. Mackay-Steven G. 20. McCrorie R. (G) 7. McKenzie R. 31. Polworth L. 21. Ramsay C. 9. Vassell K. 23. Watkins M. 12. Watson D.	2. Brown J. 24. Efete M. 14. Grieves J. 16. Harmon G. 23. Nisbet J. 11. Phillips K. 31. Ross L. (G) 25. Samuel A. 30. Smith D.
Coaches
McInnes D.	Cowie D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Anderson B. ⚽, Armstrong D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopata K. ↓, Efete M. ↑,
53', Kenneh N. ↓, Samuel A. ↑,
57', Efete M. 🟨,
59', Allardice S. ↓, Nisbet J. ↑,
65', Campbell E. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Donnelly L. ⚽, Anderson B. (A),
76', Ashworth Z. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
80', Anderson B. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
80', Armstrong D. ↓, Ramsay C. ↑,
87', Murray F. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
90', Wales B. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Kilmarnock is a favorite.

There will not play in Kilmarnock: McKenzie R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ross County: Chilvers N. (Inactive) Leak R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Armstrong D. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Knock)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kilmarnock won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Premier League
12.04.25	Celtic - Kilmarnock	5:1 ✺
05.04.25	Kilmarnock - Motherwell	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	St. Mirren - Kilmarnock	5:1 ✺
15.03.25	Kilmarnock - Hibernian	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Ross County - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTL
- Ross County
Scottish Premier League
12.04.25	St. Mirren - Ross County	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ross County - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Ross County - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Hearts - Ross County	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Ross County - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
01.03.25	Ross County - Kilmarnock	1:0
05.01.25	Kilmarnock - Ross County	0:1
26.10.24	Ross County - Kilmarnock	2:1
06.04.24	Kilmarnock - Ross County	1:0
25.11.23	Ross County - Kilmarnock	0:0
02.09.23	Kilmarnock - Ross County	0:1
28.05.23	Kilmarnock - Ross County	3:1

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