The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kilmarnock 22.9%
Draw 26.5%
Hibernian 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
28.2%
47.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.7%
27.3%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
16.7%
25%
Kilmarnock - Hibernian Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Hibernian will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kilmarnock: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Oluwayemi T. (G) 26. Brannan B. 5. Mayo L. 25. Schilte-Brown E. 6. Deas R. 3. Thompson D. 31. Polworth L. 8. Lyons B. (C) 12. Watson D. 19. Anderson B. 24. John-Jules T.
1. Sallinger R. (G) 5. O'Hora W. 4. Hanley G. 15. Iredale J. 27. Megwa K. 20. Mulligan J. 22. Barlaser D. 7. Youan T. 23. Hoilett J. 17. McGrath J. 18. Klidje T.
Substitutes
30. Beach E. (G) 9. Dackers M. 27. Leslie K. 21. Schjonning-Larsen M. 14. Stanger G. 22. Thompson J. 17. Tiffoney S. 23. Watkins M. 4. Williams Z.
9. Bowie K. 12. Cadden Ch. 6. Levitt D. 8. Manneh A. 24. Mitchell Z. 35. Molotnikov R. 11. Newell J. 21. Obita J. 13. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Doolan K.
Gray D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Youan T. ⚽, Barlaser D. (A),
34', Megwa K. ↓, Cadden Ch. ↑,
45+2', Youan T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lyons B. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
52', Hoilett J. ↓, Obita J. ↑,
52', Iredale J. ↓, Mitchell Z. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, John-Jules T. ⚽,
61', Thompson D. ↓, Schjonning-Larsen M. ↑,
69', Deas R. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Youan T. ⚽,
73', Anderson B. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
73', Klidje T. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
73', Youan T. ↓, Molotnikov R. ↑,
77', Sallinger R. 🟨,
80', Watson D. 🟥,
85', Polworth L. ↓, Tiffoney S. ↑,
85', Watkins M. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
87', Dackers M. 🟨,
90', Thompson J. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, McGrath J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Obita J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 0.
Kilmarnock is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hibernian is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Hibernian is the team to beat.
There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
There will not play in Hibernian: Bushiri R.
(International duty)
There are questionable in Kilmarnock: McKenzie R.
(Inactive)
Tiffoney S.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).