Match Info

K League 1 - Round 9

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Jeonju World Cup Stadium (Jeonju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV


	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5	Watch
	1.65	3.55	4.85
	1.73	3.86	5.19
	1.87	3.55	4.03	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.8	Watch
	1.7	3.66	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.97)	3.6 ↑ (3.34)	4.79 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
54.5%

Draw
25.9%

Incheon United
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors's performance.

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeonbuk Motors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Song Bum-Keun (G) 23. Kim Tae-Hwan (C) 4. Cho Wi-Je 2. Kim Young-Bin 66. Choi Woo-Jin 8. Oberdan 97. Kim Jin-gyu 7. Lee Dong-Jun 13. Kang Sang-Yoon 11. Kim Seung-Sub 9. Tiago Orobo	21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 13. Choi Seung-gu 20. Park Kyung-sub 2. Ibiza 27. Yeo Seung-Won 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 15. Seo Jae-Min 23. Jeong Chi-In 99. Ferrier M. 72. Lee Chung-Yong
Substitutes
99. Bruno Mota 16. Gamboa J. 17. Jin Tae-Ho 15. Kim Ha-jun 1. Lee Ju-hyeon (G) 24. Lee Sang-myung 10. Lee Seung-Woo 28. Lee Yeong-Jae 6. Maeng Seong-Ung	11. Gerso 1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 4. Kim Gun-Hee 39. Kim Myung-soon 17. Kim Seong-Min 32. Lee Ju-Yong 9. Mugosa S. 19. Park Ho-Min 8. Undabarrena I.
Coaches
Chung Jung-Yong	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Cho Wi-Je ⚽, Kang Sang-Yoon (A),
40', 1 - 1, Lee Myoung-Joo (Penalty Awarded),
42', Choi Seung-gu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kang Sang-Yoon ↓, Lee Seung-Woo ↑,
46', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
53', Yeo Seung-Won ↓, Lee Ju-Yong ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Lee Dong-Ryul ⚽, Choi Seung-gu (A),
64', Choi Woo-Jin ↓, Kim Ha-jun ↑,
64', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Bruno Mota ↑,
67', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Undabarrena I. ↑,
67', Lee Dong-Ryul ↓, Gerso ↑,
72', Lee Chung-Yong 🟨,
76', Kim Seung-Sub ↓, Lee Yeong-Jae ↑,
79', 🟨,
80', Ferrier M. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
85', Park Ho-Min 🟨,
90+1', Lee Ju-Yong 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeonbuk Motors won 1.

Jeonbuk Motors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Incheon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Jeonbuk Motors is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeonbuk Motors won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeonbuk Motors won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Jeonbuk	31	11	11	9	39:30	9	44
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42

Last Results with these Odds

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.49%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
18.04.26	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	FC Seoul - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Ulsan HD	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Anyang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWW
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
18.04.26	Bucheon - Incheon United	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Incheon United - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Anyang - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.11.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	0:0
24.08.24	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:1
16.06.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	2:2
01.05.24	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	3:0
12.11.23	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1
South Korean Cup
01.11.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	3:1
South Korean K-League 1
06.08.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	2:0

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