Match Info

NORWAY: NM CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Grefsen Stadion (Oslo)

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)


	Kjelsås		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.75
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.55	3.3	2.8
	2.55	3.37	2.71
	2.45	3.2	2.55
	2.57	3.48	2.66
	2.5	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.16)	3.29 ↓ (3.47)	2.65 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kjelsås
36.7%

Draw
28.2%

Raufoss
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kjelsås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kjelsås's performance.

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raufoss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kjelsås than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kjelsås that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raufoss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	40%	50%

Kjelsås - Raufoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kjelsås will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Raufoss will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raufoss: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Da Rocha W. (G) 16. Ottesen S. 15. Welinder M. 22. Martinussen S. 26. Bjornland O. (C) 10. Abbas A. 7. Flaten J. 21. Halvorsen V. E. 8. Willumsen E. 11. Vinge R. E. 9. Aslaksrud J.	1. Lauvli O. (C) 20. Simenstad G. 11. Fremstad N. 5. Gudjonsson A. 4. Westerlund S. 16. Orsahl J. 18. Somesi K. 6. Hammer H. 10. Mettler L. 7. Osterud A. 9. Helmersen A.
Substitutes
19. Askengren P. 6. Boateng J. 29. Halvorsen P. 28. Hermansen L. 30. Kirsebom T. (G) 14. Nouri A. 18. Olsen J. 24. Osnes H. 23. Stolan M.	26. Brattbakk F. 3. Engebakken T. 31. Fagereng A. (G) 21. Fagernes M. 8. Johnsgard M. 19. Loberg T. 15. Racaj A. 22. Teigen A.
Coaches
Kampen E.	Walemark J.

Preview

Kjelsås is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Raufoss is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Raufoss will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kjelsås won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kjelsås won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kjelsås
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.07.23	Vard Haugesund - Kjelsås	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Kjelsås - Egersund	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.06.23	Kjelsås - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.06.23	Kjelsås - Fram Larvik	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Grorud - Kjelsås	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWTW
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.07.23	Raufoss - Kristiansund	3:2 ✺
02.07.23	Bryne - Raufoss	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.06.23	Raufoss - Viking Stavanger	5:4 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.06.23	Raufoss - Skeid	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Jerv - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.09.17	Kjelsås - Raufoss	2:1
20.05.17	Raufoss - Kjelsås	2:2

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