Match Info

J3 League - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	13:00	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Kochi United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.30	2.45
	2.45	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.51	3.6	2.52
	2.65	3.44	2.5	Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.35
	2.53	3.5	2.58	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.25)	3.33 ↑ (3.15)	2.49 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
36.2%

Draw
27.3%

Kochi United
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Gainare Tottori - Kochi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Momoi R. (G) 4. Nikaido S. (C) 3. Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 55. Oshima H. 15. Kiuchi T. 7. Arai R. 8. Tojo A. 27. Hombo K. 14. Kawamura T. 10. Miki N. 24. Hoshi K.	1. Ono R. (G) 23. Matsumoto D. 4. Kobayashi D. (C) 22. Fujimori R. 7. Kanehara A. 8. Takano Y. 14. Sekino G. 16. Kozuki S. 20. Sugiyama R. 28. Nanamure A. 19. Origbaajo I.
Substitutes
88. Burns A. (G) 2. Fujita I. 42. Kaneura M. 20. Lorenz M. 32. Moon M. 9. Shinoda D. 16. Tasei Y. 19. Yamamoto S. 22. Yoshida I.	26. Asano K. 33. Cho H. 17. Inose K. (G) 13. Kawata A. 76. Mikado Y. 15. Sakamoto H. 77. Sato J. 44. Shimoda Y. 73. Tanaka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Hoshi K. ↓, Shinoda D. ↑,
59', Miki N. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
64', Sugiyama R. ↓, Cho H. ↑,
64', Origbaajo I. ↓, Shimoda Y. ↑,
66', Tojo A. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
74', Kanehara A. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
76', Kobayashi D. 🟨,
85', Hombo K. ↓, Yoshida I. ↑,
88', Nanamure A. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
88', Matsumoto D. ↓, Sakamoto H. ↑,
89', Arai R. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 15th and 20th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, both teams have suffered multiple defeats and urgently need a reaction.

Gainare Tottori could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Gainare Tottori has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Gainare Tottori has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gainare Tottori against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Gainare Tottori	13	4	3	6	13:23	-10	15
20	Kochi United	13	1	3	9	5:28	-23	6

Last Results with these Odds

Gainare Tottori - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.72%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Kochi United - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.91%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
21.10.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Gainare Tottori	3:0 ✺
17.10.26	Gainare Tottori - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Gainare Tottori - Cerezo Osaka	2:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
11.10.26	Gainare Tottori - Gifu	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Gainare Tottori - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
21.10.26	Kagoshima United - Kochi United	3:1 ✺
18.10.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kochi United	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Kochi United - Nagano Parceiro	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kochi United	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Kochi United - Osaka	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.08.25	Gainare Tottori - Kochi United	1:0
23.02.25	Kochi United - Gainare Tottori	0:0

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