Match Info

J3 League - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	17:00	DAZN Japan


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Kochi United

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.85
	2.2	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.23	3.5	3.04
	2.27	3.34	3.04	Watch
	2.16	3.15	2.95
	2.27	3.6	3.01	Watch
	2.24	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)	3.3 ↑ (3)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
41.2%

Draw
27.8%

Kochi United
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.8%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

The chances for Kochi United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kochi United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giravanz will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Otani K. (G) 30. Fukumori K. 28. Yokokubo K. 3. Kamihashi R. 20. Yasumitsu S. 66. Takahashi D. 18. Hiramatsu S. 51. Sakashita Y. 27. Hara K. 37. Yoshida K. 11. Koh S.	17. Inose K. (G) 23. Matsumoto D. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 88. Hama T. 14. Sekino G. 8. Takano Y. 44. Shimoda Y. 16. Kozuki S. 28. Nanamure A. 10. Sasaki T.
Substitutes
4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 6. Hoshi K. 14. Izawa H. 5. Narasaka T. 52. Nishimura M. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 19. Yoshihara F. 8. Yoshinaga M.	26. Asano K. 33. Cho H. 7. Kanehara A. 13. Kawata A. 1. Ono R. (G) 6. Sakagishi K. 20. Sugiyama R. 5. Tadokoro R. 73. Tanaka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Shimoda Y. 🟨,
61', Hara K. ↓, Yoshinaga M. ↑,
61', Yoshida K. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Koh S. ⚽, Fukumori K. (A),
71', 2 - 0, Yasumitsu S. ⚽,
73', Koh S. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,
75', Shimoda Y. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
75', Nanamure A. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
81', Sasaki T. ↓, Kanehara A. ↑,
87', Sekino G. 🟨,
87', Matsumoto D. ↓, Sugiyama R. ↑,
87', Sekino G. ↓, Sakagishi K. ↑,
89', Sakashita Y. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
89', Takahashi D. ↓, Narasaka T. ↑,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 17th and 19th in the J3 League (Relegation)).

Giravanz is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kochi United has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Kochi United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Giravanz has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 1:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Giravanz against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Giravanz Kitakyushu	12	3	4	5	16:21	-5	13
20	Kochi United	12	1	2	9	5:28	-23	5

Last Results with these Odds

Kochi United - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.03%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Nagoya Grampus	1:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kagoshima United	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sagamihara - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gainare Tottori	2:4 ✺
09.09.26	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWLL
- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Kochi United - Osaka	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kochi United - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Kochi United - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Tochigi - Kochi United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kochi United	0:2
21.06.25	Kochi United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:2

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