Match Info

J3 League - Round 38

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium (Kochi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kochi United		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.62	3.45	2.52
	2.23	3.55	2.88	Watch
	2.48	3.24	2.49	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.23)	3.35 ↓ (3.55)	2.56 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kochi United
36.8%

Draw
27.4%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kochi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kochi United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Kochi United - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Yoshida T. 37. Fukagawa D. 4. Kobayashi D. 16. Kozuki S. 88. Kudo M. 15. Kobayashi R. 72. Fukumiya K. 26. Suto N. 19. Mizuno H. 9. Shintani M.	21. Kim Je-hee (G) 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 4. Funabashi Y. 37. Sehata G. 49. Kotake S. 36. Adachi S. 27. Fujimura R. 11. Kagami T. 7. Nishimura Y.
Substitutes
25. Imai N. 39. Joppu S. 35. Matsumoto K. 3. Nakata E. 21. Osugi S. (G) 10. Sasaki T. 20. Sugiyama R. 8. Takano Y. 18. Toya T.	15. Kazama K. 14. Kikuchi K. 13. Kondo I. (G) 38. Konishi H. 30. Koyanagi T. 19. Mohamado F. 48. Nakashima T. 5. Yamaguchi K. 6. Yonehara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Sehata G. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Funabashi Y. ⚽, Kagami T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Mizuno H. ↓, Sugiyama R. ↑,
62', Kudo M. ↓, Takano Y. ↑,
63', Shintani M. ↓, Toya T. ↑,
64', Kotake S. ↓, Mohamado F. ↑,
65', Fujimura R. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
65', Kagami T. ↓, Yamaguchi K. ↑,
70', Nishimura Y. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,
72', Fukumiya K. 🟨,
77', Fukumiya K. ↓, Imai N. ↑,
81', Sehata G. 🟨,
82', Kobayashi R. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
88', Adachi S. ↓, Yonehara S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 14).

Kochi United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Thespakusatsu is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kochi United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
24.11.25	Osaka - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Kochi United - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Kochi United - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nagano Parceiro - Kochi United	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Kochi United - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
23.11.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Matsumoto Yamaga	6:2 ✺
16.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kochi United	2:2

Upcoming Matches