Match Info

J3 League - Round 36

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Azul Claro Numazu		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.67	3.66	2.4
	2.71	3.47	2.38	Watch
	2.53	3.38	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.71)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	2.38 (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
35.1%

Draw
26.3%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Azul Claro Numazu - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gueguim G. (G) 5. Shinozaki T. 34. Miyazaki K. 7. Numata K. 22. Ichimaru D. 13. Watai K. 14. Tokunaga K. 2. Miyawaki S. 24. Yanagimachi K. 35. Mukai H. 23. Shirawachi K.	21. Kim Je-hee (G) 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 14. Kikuchi K. 37. Sehata G. 4. Funabashi Y. 8. Yamauchi R. 27. Fujimura R. 49. Kotake S. 11. Kagami T. 7. Nishimura Y.
Substitutes
28. Inoue K. 20. Kawamata K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 77. Martinez E. 16. Mihara S. 11. Mori Y. 19. Saito M. 10. Sato N. 18. Sugai T.	36. Adachi S. 15. Kazama K. 13. Kondo I. (G) 30. Koyanagi T. 19. Mohamado F. 48. Nakashima T. 20. Shimokawa T. 18. Tanaka S. 5. Yamaguchi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Nishimura Y. ⚽, Kotake S. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Nishimura Y. ⚽, Fujimura R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Watai K. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
58', Fujimura R. ↓, Yamaguchi K. ↑,
58', Kagami T. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
59', Shirawachi K. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
59', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
73', Mukai H. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
74', Nishimura Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
74', Kotake S. ↓, Mohamado F. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Saito M. ⚽, Miyawaki S. (A),
81', Miyawaki S. ↓, Sato N. ↑,
82', Funabashi Y. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Azul Claro Numazu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Thespakusatsu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Azul Claro Numazu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Azul Claro Numazu - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.25%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
09.11.25	Ryūkyū - Azul Claro Numazu	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLLL
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
09.11.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
31.05.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Azul Claro Numazu	0:0

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